MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$93.13
5.56 (6.35%)
▲
5d:
+6.86%
30d:
+11.33%
90d:
+21.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
2d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNDY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNDY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.50
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.18
19.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $93.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.95 to $88.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.25 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.25 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.95 -
$88.57
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($109.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.95 -
$88.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.50
Resistance Level
$95.46
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.76
Wall Street Target
$109.25
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 18.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.02
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$78.70
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$74.61
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$87.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.4%)
$201.13
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 21.4%)
$156.69
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 21.4%)
$133.19
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.29
Bull Case
$201.19
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.9
Base Case
$182.90
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case
$62.19
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$102.80
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 07, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNDY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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