MNRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock
$14.53
-0.86 (-5.59%)
▼
5d:
-11.67%
30d:
-18.32%
90d:
-20.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MNRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MNRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.72
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
23.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $14.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.98 to $17.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.38 (+67.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.38 (+67.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.98 -
$17.34
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 67.8% below Wall St target ($24.38)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.98 -
$17.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.97
Resistance Level
$18.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.75
Wall Street Target
$24.38
(+67.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.3%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 26.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.61
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$12.76
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$11.95
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$14.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 22.3%)
$26.80
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$26.61
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.3%)
$22.62
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.20 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.63
Bull Case
$17.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$14.53
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$11.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.8 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$17.64
(+21.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 06, 2026 5:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter D Fitzsimmons
BUY
12750 shares
2026-02-05
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Advanced MNRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNRO price and gamma walls.
