AutoZone (AZO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3179.06
-38.38 (-1.19%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.41%
30d:
+9.88%
90d:
+4.56%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
26d
Protect AZO Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$2955.29 â $3253.41
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.5x
FAIR
vs 18.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3665.61
+13.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3084.65 / $3359.00
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AZO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When AZO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5276.28
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3276.16
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AZO is currently trading at $3179.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2955.29 to $3253.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $3084.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AZO scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3665.61 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $3084.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AZO scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3665.61 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$2955.29 -
$3253.41
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2955.29 -
$3253.41
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$162.62
(5.1%)
Support Level
$3084.65
Resistance Level
$3359.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AZO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($3665.61)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.45
Wall Street Target
$3665.61
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3191.70
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$3166.17
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$3140.84
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â19)
$3217.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.9%)
$5391.61
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.9%)
$5009.19
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 15.9%)
$4257.81
(+32%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $152.55
Bull Case
$4088.04
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$3716.40
(+16%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$2210.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$3295.67
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share AZO Analysis
Share this live AZO analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AZO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses optimism about $WULF stock, predicting a rebound from recent selloffs with a first price target of $65 and an extended target of $105.
Key Retail Themes:
Bearish selloffs
Price targets
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ORLY
OâReilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$106 | 44 HOLD |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$26 | 52 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$59 | 56 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$78 | 58 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. ClaâĻ |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$9 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced AZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AZO price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive AZO Research Pages
