AZO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AZO - AutoZone, Inc.
$3025.00
-15.37 (-0.51%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.27%
30d:
-1.21%
90d:
-10.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 22, 2026
Get Alerted When AZO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AZO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AZO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5482.18
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3404.01
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AZO is currently trading at $3025.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2988.12 to $3088.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2945.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3950.52 (+30.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2945.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3950.52 (+30.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2988.12 -
$3088.04
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AZO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($3950.52)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2988.12 -
$3088.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$126.41
(4.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2945.37
Resistance Level
$3129.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.26
Wall Street Target
$3950.52
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2904.00
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$2787.84
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$2676.33
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â20)
$3022.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$5533.53
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 16.0%)
$4722.36
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 16.0%)
$4014.01
(+33%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $145.03
Bull Case
$4040.48
(+34%)
Analyst growth 20.8%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$3673.17
(+21%)
Market implied 20.8%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$2067.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$3416.70
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Earl G Graves Jr
SELL
50 shares
2026-04-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$68 | 65 BUY |
|
ORLY
OâReilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$108 | 39 SELL |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. ClaâĻ |
BUY
28 analysts |
$12 | 41 HOLD |
|
ALV
Autoliv Inc |
BUY
18 analysts |
$135 | 55 HOLD |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$30 | 43 HOLD |
Advanced AZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AZO price and gamma walls.
