BorgWarner (BWA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$50.45
-0.99 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
-2.44%
30d:
-15.96%
90d:
-26.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$51.85 – $60.57
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.6x
CHEAP
vs 10.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$77.93
+54.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$47.40 / $56.20
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BWA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.6% annual earnings decline despite 48% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 28, 2026 at $55.56 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.51
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.34
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWA is currently trading at $50.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.85 to $60.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $47.40, while resistance sits at $56.20.
Market Sentiment: BWA scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.93 (+54.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $47.40, while resistance sits at $56.20.
Market Sentiment: BWA scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.93 (+54.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$51.85 -
$60.57
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$51.85 -
$60.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$47.40
Resistance Level
$56.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.5% below Wall St target ($77.93)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.57
Wall Street Target
$77.93
(+54.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.9%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.62
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$44.96
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$42.44
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$50.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$162.88
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.7%)
$70.26
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$59.72
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$113.17
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$102.88
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$34.98
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$60.07
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BWA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $BWA, believing the market has already discounted potential DC demand issues and focuses on EV numbers instead.
Key Retail Themes:
DC demand concerns
EV numbers
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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