Aptiv (APTV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APTV - Aptiv PLC
$45.54
-0.15 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
-2.13%
30d:
-6.06%
90d:
-32.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $47.95 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.55
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.12
14.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $45.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.11 to $50.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.83, while resistance sits at $48.23.
Market Sentiment: APTV scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.61 (+45.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.83, while resistance sits at $48.23.
Market Sentiment: APTV scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.61 (+45.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$45.11 -
$50.06
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.8% below Wall St target ($66.61)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.11 -
$50.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.83
Resistance Level
$48.24
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.02
Wall Street Target
$66.61
(+45.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.77
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$40.03
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$37.47
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$45.92
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$193.35
(+323%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$67.26
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$57.17
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$97.92
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$89.02
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$30.27
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$56.00
(+22.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APTV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APTV price and gamma walls.
