Aptiv (APTV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APTV - Aptiv PLC
$44.34
-0.72 (-1.60%)
▼
5d:
+1.16%
30d:
-0.61%
90d:
-20.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.08
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.97
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $44.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.50 to $44.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.76, while resistance sits at $46.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.33 (+45.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.76, while resistance sits at $46.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.33 (+45.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$43.50 -
$44.70
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APTV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.1% below Wall St target ($64.33)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.50 -
$44.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.76
Resistance Level
$46.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.85
Wall Street Target
$64.33
(+45.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.55
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$38.93
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$36.48
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$44.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$189.41
(+327%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$65.33
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$55.53
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case
$99.13
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.1
Base Case
$90.12
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.6
Bear Case
$30.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$53.73
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 1:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APTV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APTV price and gamma walls.
