Aptiv (APTV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$39.57
-0.34 (-0.85%)
▼
5d:
-4.28%
30d:
-9.14%
90d:
-18.38%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect APTV Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$41.79 – $44.98
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.5x
CHEAP
vs 8.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$58.61
+48.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$39.05 / $45.88
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.33
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.94
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $39.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.79 to $44.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.61 (+48.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.61 (+48.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.79 -
$44.98
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$41.79 -
$44.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$39.05
Resistance Level
$45.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding APTV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.1% below Wall St target ($58.61)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.54
Wall Street Target
$58.61
(+48.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.64
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$33.93
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$31.42
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$39.37
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$146.05
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 6.7%)
$48.12
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 6.7%)
$40.91
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.58
Bull Case
$74.15
(+87%)
Analyst growth 68.9%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$67.41
(+70%)
Market implied 68.9%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$27.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$49.58
(+25.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (APTV)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
APTV reported Q3 earnings, beating EPS estimates with a surprise of +6.77%. The revenue of $3.2 billion represented a year-over-year decline of 38.6%.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings surprise
revenue decline
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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