APTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APTV - Aptiv PLC
$49.56
0.39 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
+0.02%
30d:
-16.37%
90d:
-13.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.55
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.74
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $49.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.76 to $59.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.16, while resistance sits at $57.78.
Market Sentiment: APTV scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.61 (+34.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.16, while resistance sits at $57.78.
Market Sentiment: APTV scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.61 (+34.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.76 -
$59.94
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APTV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.4% below Wall St target ($66.61)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.76 -
$59.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.16
Resistance Level
$57.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.61
Wall Street Target
$66.61
(+34.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.38
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$45.29
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$43.30
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$49.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$193.92
(+291%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 13.8%)
$72.96
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$62.01
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$108.17
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$98.34
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$33.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$56.65
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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