Aptiv (APTV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APTV - Aptiv PLC
$43.97
0.95 (2.21%)
▲
5d:
+0.89%
30d:
-1.96%
90d:
-25.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.95
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.75
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $43.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.62 to $46.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.56, while resistance sits at $45.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.61 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.56, while resistance sits at $45.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.61 (+51.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$43.62 -
$46.15
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APTV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($66.61)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.62 -
$46.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.56
Resistance Level
$45.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.72
Wall Street Target
$66.61
(+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.76
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$37.78
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$35.03
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$43.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$199.50
(+354%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$65.69
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$55.83
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$94.64
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$86.04
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$29.25
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$54.99
(+25.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APTV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APTV price and gamma walls.
