MNRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock
$16.51
-0.30 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-4.12%
30d:
+16.19%
90d:
+0.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNRO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNRO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.72
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
13.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $16.51, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.05 to $16.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.50, while resistance sits at $18.66.
Market Sentiment: MNRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.38 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.50, while resistance sits at $18.66.
Market Sentiment: MNRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.38 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$15.05 -
$16.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.6% below Wall St target ($23.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.05 -
$16.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.50
Resistance Level
$18.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.72
Wall Street Target
$23.38
(+41.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.3%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.23
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$15.95
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$15.68
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$16.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 22.3%)
$30.23
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$26.64
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.3%)
$22.65
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (58x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 58.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.28
Bull Case
$19.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 61.1
Base Case
$16.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 58.1
Bear Case
$12.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 52.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$17.43
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter D Fitzsimmons
BUY
12750 shares
2026-02-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNRO price and gamma walls.
