MNRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-AUTOMOTIVE REPAIR, SERVICES & PARKING
$15.51
0.16 (1.01%) ▲
5d: -4.58%
30d: -5.34%
90d: +1.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.72
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
18.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $15.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.14 to $16.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (26.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.50, while resistance sits at $18.66.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.38 (+52.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $15.14 - $16.47
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.3% below Wall St target ($23.38)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.14 - $16.47
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.50
Resistance Level $18.66
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.98
Wall Street Target $23.38 (+52.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 161.3%
Profit Margin 0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.0 vs 26.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.71 (-4%)
2-Year Target $14.09 (-8%)
3-Year Target $13.50 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→26) $15.39 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.0, Growth: 22.3%) $28.11 (+83%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%) $26.64 (+74%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.3%) $22.65 (+48%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 53.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.29
Bull Case $18.54 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.5
Base Case $15.35 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.8
Bear Case $11.74 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 26.2
Stabilization Target: $17.50 (+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.0%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter D Fitzsimmons BUY 12750 shares 2026-02-05

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Advanced MNRO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNRO price and gamma walls.

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