Monro (MNRO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock
$12.79
0.22 (1.75%)
â˛
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
+11.41%
90d:
-20.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MNRO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MNRO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.72
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
32.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $12.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.79 to $13.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.12, while resistance sits at $13.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+72.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.12, while resistance sits at $13.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+72.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.79 -
$13.03
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MNRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.0% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.79 -
$13.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.12
Resistance Level
$13.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.15
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+72.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 25.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.70
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$10.71
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$9.80
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â25)
$12.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.3%)
$24.67
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$23.42
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 22.3%)
$19.91
(+56%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (55x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case
$27.65
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 60.1
Base Case
$25.14
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 54.7
Bear Case
$8.55
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$16.70
(+30.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNRO price and gamma walls.
