MNRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock
$15.51
0.16 (1.01%)
▲
5d:
-4.58%
30d:
-5.34%
90d:
+1.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.72
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $15.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.14 to $16.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (26.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.50, while resistance sits at $18.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.38 (+52.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.50, while resistance sits at $18.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.38 (+52.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.14 -
$16.47
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.3% below Wall St target ($23.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.14 -
$16.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.50
Resistance Level
$18.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.98
Wall Street Target
$23.38
(+52.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.3%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 26.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.71
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.09
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$13.50
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$15.39
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 22.3%)
$28.11
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$26.64
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.3%)
$22.65
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 53.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.29
Bull Case
$18.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.5
Base Case
$15.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.8
Bear Case
$11.74
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 26.2
Stabilization Target:
$17.50
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter D Fitzsimmons
BUY
12750 shares
2026-02-05
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