Is MBLY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MBLY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MBLY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MBLY to be between $7.14 and $7.87. The current price is $7.02.

What is the analyst price target for MBLY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MBLY is $11.19. This implies a potential upside of 59.5% from current levels.

Mobileye Global (MBLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$7.02

-0.28 (-3.84%) ▼

5d: -1.82%

30d: -8.59%

90d: -6.02%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MBLY Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 6d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 12, 2026 at $6.84 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026

Strength: 8.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -2.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$11.61

Based on 0.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$7.21

2.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $7.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.14 to $7.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 99.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.78, while resistance sits at $7.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.19 (+59.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $7.14 - $7.87

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
BULLISH: Trading 59.5% below Wall St target ($11.19)
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.14 - $7.87

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.78

Resistance Level $7.60

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.31

Wall Street Target $11.19 (+59.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 99.7%

Profit Margin -201.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -14.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 22.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -14.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $6.32 (-10%)

2-Year Target $5.69 (-19%)

3-Year Target $5.12 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→23) $8.08 (+15%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.1%) $9.15 (+30%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: -2.1%) $6.59 (-6%)

Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: -2.1%) $5.60 (-20%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 22.6

Stabilization Target: $11.08 (+57.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +57.9%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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