MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock
SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
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Mobileye Global (MBLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.63
-0.23 (-3.92%)
▼
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
-17.69%
90d:
-36.02%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect MBLY Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$5.94 – $7.37
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.6x
CHEAP
vs 22.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$9.37
+66.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.89 / $7.09
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.89
Based on 0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.76
16.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $5.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.94 to $7.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 99.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.89, while resistance sits at $7.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBLY scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.37 (+66.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.89, while resistance sits at $7.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBLY scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.37 (+66.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.94 -
$7.37
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$5.94 -
$7.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$4.89
Resistance Level
$7.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 66.4% below Wall St target ($9.37)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.55
Wall Street Target
$9.37
(+66.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
99.7%
Profit Margin
-201.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.56
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→22)
$7.82
(+39%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.3%)
$8.75
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -3.3%)
$5.09
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -3.3%)
$4.33
(-23%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$10.72
(+90.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+90.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MBLY)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user is inquiring about the potential timing of a catalyst for $MBLY.
Key Retail Themes:
Anticipation of a potential catalyst for $MBLY
Bullish sentiment towards the stock
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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