Is MBLY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MBLY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MBLY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MBLY to be between $8.34 and $8.91. The current price is $8.25.

What is the analyst price target for MBLY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MBLY is $11.96. This implies a potential upside of 44.9% from current levels.

Mobileye Global (MBLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$8.25

0.04 (0.49%) ▲

5d: -0.84%

30d: -6.25%

90d: -13.88%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $8.56 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 4.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -2.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$11.81

Based on 0.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$7.33

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $8.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.34 to $8.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 99.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.86, while resistance sits at $8.83.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.96 (+44.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $8.34 - $8.91

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 44.9% below Wall St target ($11.96)
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.34 - $8.91

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.86

Resistance Level $8.83

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.99

Wall Street Target $11.96 (+44.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 99.7%

Profit Margin -201.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -10.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 17.0 vs 23.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -10.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $7.43 (-10%)

2-Year Target $6.68 (-19%)

3-Year Target $6.01 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→24) $8.39 (+2%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.9%) $8.96 (+9%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: -2.9%) $7.55 (-9%)

Bear: (PE: 14.4, Growth: -2.9%) $6.42 (-22%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 23.7

Stabilization Target: $11.51 (+39.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +39.5%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 8:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced MBLY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBLY price and gamma walls.

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