What is the fair value of MBLY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MBLY to be between $8.16 and $9.45. The current price is $8.92.

What is the analyst price target for MBLY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MBLY is $12.10. This implies a potential upside of 35.7% from current levels.

MBLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$8.92

0.02 (0.22%) ▲

5d: +2.18%

30d: -0.56%

90d: -14.07%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $8.73 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MBLY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -6.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$10.59

Based on -1.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$6.58

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $8.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.16 to $9.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 99.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.10 (+35.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $8.16 - $9.45

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 35.7% below Wall St target ($12.10)
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.16 - $9.45

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.86

Resistance Level $9.04

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.03

Wall Street Target $12.10 (+35.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 99.7%

Profit Margin -201.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -8.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 24.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -8.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $8.21 (-8%)

2-Year Target $7.55 (-15%)

3-Year Target $6.95 (-22%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→24) $8.91 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -6.9%) $7.65 (+-14%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: -6.9%) $7.20 (-19%)

Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: -6.9%) $6.12 (-31%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 24.4

Stabilization Target: $11.44 (+28.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +28.2%

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Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 AM

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Advanced MBLY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBLY price and gamma walls.

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