MRTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRTN - Marten Transport Ltd
$15.49
-0.81 (-4.97%)
▼
5d:
-11.08%
30d:
-10.51%
90d:
+4.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MRTN is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MRTN is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.35
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRTN is currently trading at $15.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.75 to $17.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.6) compared to its historical average (34.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.75 -
$17.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MRTN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.75 -
$17.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.04
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.30
Resistance Level
$18.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.55
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 34.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.43
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$15.31
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$14.27
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→34)
$17.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 132.7%)
$59.50
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 132.7%)
$45.25
(+157%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 132.7%)
$38.46
(+118%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.88
Bull Case
$18.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$15.49
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$11.85
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.5 to 34.0
Stabilization Target:
$21.76
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 28, 2026 1:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MRTN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRTN price and gamma walls.
