Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$66.76
1.35 (2.06%)
▲
5d:
+4.85%
30d:
-0.98%
90d:
-10.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.41
33.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $66.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.31 to $69.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.12, while resistance sits at $69.09.
Market Sentiment: KNX scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.45 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.12, while resistance sits at $69.09.
Market Sentiment: KNX scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.45 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$65.31 -
$69.43
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($88.45)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.31 -
$69.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.12
Resistance Level
$69.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.56
Wall Street Target
$88.45
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.02
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$57.62
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$53.53
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$66.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 74.1%)
$277.56
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 74.1%)
$225.32
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 74.1%)
$191.52
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.28
Bull Case
$80.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$66.76
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$51.07
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$83.04
(+24.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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