KNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$74.96
0.96 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
-3.08%
30d:
+6.9%
90d:
+36.27%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.18
16.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $74.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.48 to $79.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.5) is in line with its historical norms (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.47, while resistance sits at $82.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.47, while resistance sits at $82.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$71.48 -
$79.62
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($77.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.48 -
$79.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.47
Resistance Level
$82.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.53
Wall Street Target
$77.53
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.78
(0%)
2-Year Target
$73.56
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$73.34
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$73.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 79.5%)
$252.65
(+241%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.5, Growth: 79.5%)
$249.75
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 79.5%)
$212.29
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.95
Bull Case
$89.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$74.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$56.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.5 to 21.7
Stabilization Target:
$74.59
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joshua Smith
SELL
5770 shares
2026-02-26
Kevin P Knight
SELL
30000 shares
2026-02-20
James L Fitzsimmons
SELL
5917 shares
2026-02-04
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