KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$62.39
+0.28 (+0.45%) ▲
5d: +0.05% 30d: -0.98% 90d: -14.88%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$60.91 – $64.38
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.3x CHEAP
vs 20.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$85.65
+37.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$58.21 / $64.30
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KNX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.5% annual earnings decline despite 1387% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $61.91 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.45
36.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $62.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.91 to $64.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1386.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.20, while resistance sits at $64.30.

Market Sentiment: KNX scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.65 (+37.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $60.91 - $64.38
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $60.91 - $64.38
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $58.21
Resistance Level $64.30
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 37.3% below Wall St target ($85.65)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.33
Wall Street Target $85.65 (+37.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1386.6%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.3 vs 20.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $57.09 (-9%)
2-Year Target $52.23 (-16%)
3-Year Target $47.79 (-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→20) $62.37 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 70.3%) $272.87 (+337%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 70.3%) $210.57 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: 70.3%) $178.98 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.37
Bull Case $75.34 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case $62.39 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case $47.73 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 20.0
Stabilization Target: $81.42 (+30.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KNX)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Transport stocks, including KNX, have been positively impacted by the recent drop in oil prices according to a bullish StockTwits user.
Key Retail Themes: oil prices impact on transport stocks positive sentiment towards KNX
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive KNX Research Pages
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