Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$67.97
-1.06 (-1.54%)
▼
5d:
-2.3%
30d:
-4.68%
90d:
-17.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.59
33.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $67.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.08 to $71.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.49, while resistance sits at $72.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.63 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.49, while resistance sits at $72.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.63 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.08 -
$71.42
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($88.63)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.08 -
$71.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.49
Resistance Level
$72.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.99
Wall Street Target
$88.63
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.35
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$59.04
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$55.03
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$68.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 72.9%)
$272.36
(+301%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 72.9%)
$229.40
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 72.9%)
$194.99
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.90
Bull Case
$82.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$67.97
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$52.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$84.02
(+23.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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