KNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$71.60
2.19 (3.16%)
▲
5d:
-1.13%
30d:
-1.01%
90d:
+1.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.05
30.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $71.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.41 to $74.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.36, while resistance sits at $73.97. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KNX scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.63 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.36, while resistance sits at $73.97. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KNX scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.63 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$69.41 -
$74.61
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($88.63)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.41 -
$74.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.36
Resistance Level
$73.97
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.90
Wall Street Target
$88.63
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 21.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.59
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$63.81
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$60.23
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$71.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 72.9%)
$271.01
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 72.9%)
$241.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 72.9%)
$205.40
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 31.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.30
Bull Case
$86.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$71.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$54.77
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$85.22
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joshua Smith
SELL
5770 shares
2026-02-26
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