Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$62.52
-0.68 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
-4.23%
30d:
-6.92%
90d:
-13.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 6, 2026 at $64.82 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.22
36.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $62.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.39 to $66.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNX scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.10 (+36.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNX scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.10 (+36.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$63.39 -
$66.66
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($85.10)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.39 -
$66.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.95
Resistance Level
$66.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.62
Wall Street Target
$85.10
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 20.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.27
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$52.46
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$48.05
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$62.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 72.9%)
$268.20
(+329%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 72.9%)
$211.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 72.9%)
$179.35
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.01
Bull Case
$75.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$62.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$47.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$81.23
(+29.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KNX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KNX price and gamma walls.
