Is SAIA stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SAIA is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: SAIA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of SAIA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SAIA to be between $447.01 and $479.19. The current price is $430.87.

What is the analyst price target for SAIA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SAIA is $452.95. This implies a potential upside of 5.1% from current levels.

SAIA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SAIA - Saia, Inc.

TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)

$430.87

-5.18 (-1.19%) ▼

5d: -9.14%

30d: -5.97%

90d: +30.77%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your SAIA Gains

Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 24, 2026 30d

Get Alerted When SAIA Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAIA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$700.92

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$435.21

1.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SAIA is currently trading at $430.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $447.01 to $479.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.9) is in line with its historical norms (30.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $455.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $447.01 - $479.19

Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.6%

Protect Your Profits

Holding SAIA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($452.95)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $447.01 - $479.19

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$29.87 (6.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $455.03

Resistance Level $494.71

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.93

Wall Street Target $452.95 (+5.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.4%

Profit Margin 7.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 29.9 vs 30.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $429.15 (0%)

2-Year Target $427.43 (-1%)

3-Year Target $425.72 (-1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→30) $431.02 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 29.9, Growth: 27.2%) $887.12 (+106%)

Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.2%) $645.62 (+50%)

Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 27.2%) $548.78 (+27%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 45.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.51

Bull Case $726.15 (+69%)

Analyst growth 51.4%, PE expands to 50.4

Base Case $660.14 (+53%)

Market implied 51.4%, PE stable at 45.9

Bear Case $296.51 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.9 to 30.3

Stabilization Target: $436.24 (+1.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +1.2%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is SAIA showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Frederick J Holzgrefe III SELL 4775 shares 2026-02-13

Kelly W Benton SELL 800 shares 2026-02-13

Matthew J Batteh SELL 916 shares 2026-02-13

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for SAIA.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Trucking Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Trucking by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
XPO XPO Logistics Inc	STRONG BUY 26 analysts	$225	55 HOLD
TFII TFI International Inc	STRONG BUY 21 analysts	$158	60 HOLD
KNX Knight Transportation Inc	BUY 21 analysts	$78	57 HOLD
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Lin…	HOLD 25 analysts	$222	53 HOLD
RXO RXO Inc.	SELL 21 analysts	$22	55 HOLD

XPO XPO Logistics Inc

55 HOLD

TFII TFI International…

60 HOLD

KNX Knight Transporta…

57 HOLD

ODFL Old Dominion Frei…

53 HOLD

RXO RXO Inc.

55 HOLD

Advanced SAIA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for SAIA

SAIA Technical Chart SAIA Price Prediction SAIA Earnings Date SAIA Investment Advisor SAIA Fair Price Analyzer SAIA Options Advisor SAIA Options Chain SAIA Options Analysis SAIA Competitors

Compare SAIA with Peers

SAIA vs ARCB
Which one to buy?

SAIA vs ODFL
Which one to buy?

SAIA vs WERN
Which one to buy?

SAIA vs KNX
Which one to buy?

SAIA vs MRTN
Which one to buy?

MEDP vs SAIA
Winner: MEDP

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie