Marten Transport (MRTN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRTN - Marten Transport Ltd
$11.69
-0.62 (-5.00%)
▼
5d:
-9.0%
30d:
-9.0%
90d:
-24.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MRTN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MRTN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.14
35.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRTN is currently trading at $11.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.48 to $13.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (30.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MRTN scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+38.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MRTN scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+38.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.48 -
$13.45
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MRTN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (16/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.48 -
$13.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.27
Resistance Level
$13.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.50
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.8%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 30.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→31)
$13.38
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 144.9%)
$41.51
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 144.9%)
$40.22
(+227%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 144.9%)
$34.18
(+178%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.70
Bull Case
$14.85
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$12.30
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$9.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 30.6
Stabilization Target:
$18.36
(+49.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MRTN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRTN price and gamma walls.
