MRTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRTN - Marten Transport Ltd
$17.52
0.02 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+1.57%
30d:
+20.25%
90d:
+27.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MRTN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MRTN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRTN is currently trading at $17.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.88 to $16.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.3) is in line with its historical norms (34.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MRTN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MRTN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.88 -
$16.94
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with -8.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.88 -
$16.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.97
Resistance Level
$17.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.28
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
37.3 vs 34.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.06
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$18.62
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$19.20
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.3, Growth: 113.6%)
$59.13
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 113.6%)
$34.75
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 113.6%)
$29.54
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.99
Bull Case
$21.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$17.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$13.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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