NJR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NJR - New Jersey Resources Corp
$59.21
0.84 (1.44%)
▲
5d:
+5.24%
30d:
+7.01%
90d:
+3.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NJR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NJR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.72
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NJR is currently trading at $59.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.80 to $57.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NJR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NJR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.80 -
$57.46
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.80 -
$57.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.96
Resistance Level
$57.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.14
Wall Street Target
$60.57
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.10
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$63.06
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$65.08
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.9%)
$71.13
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: -1.9%)
$55.98
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: -1.9%)
$47.58
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case
$64.81
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.8%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$58.92
(+1%)
Market implied 1.8%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$39.36
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NJR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Reich
SELL
5449 shares
2026-03-19
Roberto Bel
SELL
6105 shares
2026-03-16
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