SWX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$88.87
-2.43 (-2.66%)
▼
5d:
-4.03%
30d:
-4.45%
90d:
-0.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.29
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.70
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $88.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.41 to $92.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $88.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.71 (+12.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $88.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.71 (+12.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$90.41 -
$92.72
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($102.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.41 -
$92.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.84
Resistance Level
$93.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.57
Wall Street Target
$102.71
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.34
(0%)
2-Year Target
$90.98
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$90.61
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$91.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$155.47
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 16.1%)
$143.58
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$122.05
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.83
Bull Case
$129.43
(+46%)
Analyst growth 28.9%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$117.66
(+32%)
Market implied 28.9%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$62.06
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$92.84
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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