SR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SR - Spire Inc.
$82.42
1.69 (2.09%)
▲
5d:
+5.05%
30d:
+2.69%
90d:
-12.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.85
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $82.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.86 to $80.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $79.69, while resistance sits at $87.16.
Market Sentiment: SR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.27 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $79.69, while resistance sits at $87.16.
Market Sentiment: SR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.27 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.86 -
$80.98
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.86 -
$80.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$87.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.92
Wall Street Target
$95.27
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$80.62
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$79.73
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$82.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.4%)
$311.78
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 37.4%)
$213.60
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 37.4%)
$181.56
(+120%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.99
Bull Case
$98.12
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$89.20
(+11%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$54.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$85.06
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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