SR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SR - Spire Inc.
$80.92
-2.38 (-2.86%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-1.92%
90d:
-6.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.38
21.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $80.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.58 to $82.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1138.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.22 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.22 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$80.58 -
$82.82
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.58 -
$82.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.67
Resistance Level
$84.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.72
Wall Street Target
$93.22
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1138.2%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.79
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$78.67
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$77.57
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â15)
$81.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 36.9%)
$282.92
(+250%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 36.9%)
$207.47
(+156%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 36.9%)
$176.35
(+118%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.51
Bull Case
$111.70
(+38%)
Analyst growth 21.9%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$101.55
(+26%)
Market implied 21.9%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$56.64
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$84.67
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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