NSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSA - National Storage Affiliates Trust
$45.06
0.30 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-0.57%
30d:
-0.79%
90d:
+9.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.05
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSA is currently trading at $45.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.08 to $45.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 120.6) compared to its historical average (93.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.08 -
$45.57
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.86)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.8% growth expectation is conservative given 237% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.08 -
$45.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.44
Resistance Level
$45.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
120.61
Wall Street Target
$43.86
(-2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
236.6%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.8% premium
PE vs Historical
120.6 vs 93.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.03
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$53.34
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$58.03
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 121→94)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 120.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$65.27
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.1%)
$11.79
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.1%)
$10.02
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 59.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$24.62
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 65.7
Base Case
$22.38
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 59.7
Bear Case
$30.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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