EastGroup Properties (EGP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$197.62
-0.43 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
+1.97%
30d:
+1.64%
90d:
-2.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$194.51 – $200.53
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
34.5x
FAIR
vs 35.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$224.65
+13.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$189.86 / $203.05
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.81
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EGP is currently trading at $197.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $194.51 to $200.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.5) is in line with its historical norms (35.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $203.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGP scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $224.65 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $203.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGP scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $224.65 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$194.51 -
$200.53
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$194.51 -
$200.53
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$189.86
Resistance Level
$203.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($224.65)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.52
Wall Street Target
$224.65
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.5 vs 35.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$195.25
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$192.91
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$190.59
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→36)
$197.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.5, Growth: -5.4%)
$167.06
(+-16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.4%)
$96.13
(-51%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -5.4%)
$81.71
(-59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 33.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.90
Bull Case
$211.41
(+7%)
Analyst growth -3.0%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case
$192.19
(-3%)
Market implied -3.0%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$134.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.5 to 35.8
Stabilization Target:
$204.97
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EGP)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Feb 15, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on EGP are bullish (sentiment score +0.33) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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