NSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSA - National Storage Affiliates Trust
$43.41
-0.77 (-1.74%)
▼
5d:
-2.97%
30d:
-2.34%
90d:
-1.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NSA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NSA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.05
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSA is currently trading at $43.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.66 to $44.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 116.2) compared to its historical average (94.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.66 -
$44.99
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NSA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.26)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.1% growth expectation is conservative given 237% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.66 -
$44.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.30
(5.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.02
Resistance Level
$46.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
116.19
Wall Street Target
$44.26
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
236.6%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
116.2 vs 94.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.49
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$49.79
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$53.33
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 116→95)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 116.2, Growth: 13.1%)
$62.88
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 13.1%)
$11.34
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 13.1%)
$9.64
(-78%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSA price and gamma walls.
