SmartStop Self Storage REIT (SMA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMA - SmartStop Self Storage REIT, Inc.
$35.64
0.20 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
+4.33%
30d:
+14.05%
90d:
+1.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SMA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SMA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.32
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMA is currently trading at $35.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.80 to $33.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 57.8) is in line with its historical norms (61.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $35.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SMA scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $35.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SMA scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.80 -
$33.95
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.5%
Protect Your Profits
SMA is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.36)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.80 -
$33.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.31
(3.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.44
Resistance Level
$35.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
57.76
Wall Street Target
$36.36
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
57.8 vs 61.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.86
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.09
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$33.34
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 58→62)
$35.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 57.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$31.30
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$10.76
(-70%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$9.15
(-74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (67x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (58x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 66.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case
$45.38
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 73.6
Base Case
$41.26
(+16%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 66.9
Bear Case
$24.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 56.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 57.8 to 61.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.13
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMA price and gamma walls.
