TRNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNO - Terreno Realty Corporation
$65.65
0.86 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
-1.07%
90d:
+7.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.00
Based on -4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNO is currently trading at $65.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.32 to $66.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.0) is in line with its historical norms (41.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.32 -
$66.66
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.94)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.32 -
$66.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.05
(3.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.12
Resistance Level
$67.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.01
Wall Street Target
$69.94
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.2%
Profit Margin
86.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.0 vs 41.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.01
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$62.41
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$60.85
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→41)
$65.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.0, Growth: -11.9%)
$47.86
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -11.9%)
$27.42
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -11.9%)
$23.31
(-65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$35.63
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$32.39
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$44.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.0 to 41.0
Stabilization Target:
$70.81
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TRNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRNO price and gamma walls.
