Is PLD stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PLD is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: PLD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of PLD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PLD to be between $140.10 and $146.90. The current price is $141.03.

What is the analyst price target for PLD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PLD is $158.31. This implies a potential upside of 12.3% from current levels.

PLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLD - PROLOGIS, INC.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

$141.03

-0.18 (-0.13%) ▼

5d: +0.62%

30d: -6.02%

90d: -1.14%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PLD Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 14, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $141.48 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026

Strength: 5.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PLD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 2.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$99.40

Based on 3.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$61.72

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLD is currently trading at $141.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.10 to $146.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.4) is in line with its historical norms (42.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 85.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $137.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PLD scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.31 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $140.10 - $146.90

Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 88.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($158.31)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $140.10 - $146.90

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $137.22

Resistance Level $144.88

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.42

Wall Street Target $158.31 (+12.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 85.3%

Profit Margin 43.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 41.4 vs 42.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $140.32 (-1%)

2-Year Target $139.62 (-1%)

3-Year Target $138.93 (-2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41→42) $140.88 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 41.4, Growth: 2.3%) $150.78 (+7%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.3%) $73.64 (-48%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 2.3%) $62.60 (-56%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 31.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.49

Bull Case $117.80 (-17%)

Analyst growth -24.2%, PE expands to 34.6

Base Case $107.09 (-24%)

Market implied -24.2%, PE stable at 31.5

Bear Case $96.02 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.4 to 42.0

Stabilization Target: $143.01 (+1.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +1.4%

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Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Kevin Hern SELL 2026-03-20

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-10

David Taylor SELL 2026-02-26

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