What is the fair value of PLD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PLD to be between $127.68 and $134.49. The current price is $127.60.

What is the analyst price target for PLD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PLD is $152.54. This implies a potential upside of 19.5% from current levels.

PROLOGIS (PLD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLD - PROLOGIS, INC.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

$127.60

0.13 (0.10%) ▲

5d: -2.19%

30d: -6.09%

90d: -12.07%

BUY

HIGH Confidence

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 15, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 15, 2026 at $126.94 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 5.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PLD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

PLD is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; PLD has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-21.

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 4.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$98.58

Based on 4.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$61.21

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLD is currently trading at $127.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.68 to $134.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.8) is in line with its historical norms (41.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $123.43, while resistance sits at $136.31.

Market Sentiment: PLD scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.54 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $127.68 - $134.49

Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 88.1%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($152.54)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $127.68 - $134.49

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $123.43

Resistance Level $136.31

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 39.75

Wall Street Target $152.54 (+19.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 3.1%

Profit Margin 43.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 39.8 vs 41.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $125.69 (-2%)

2-Year Target $123.80 (-3%)

3-Year Target $121.94 (-4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 40→42) $127.62 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 39.8, Growth: 4.4%) $145.15 (+14%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%) $72.52 (-43%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 4.4%) $61.64 (-52%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 28.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.50

Bull Case $100.02 (-22%)

Analyst growth -28.7%, PE expands to 31.2

Base Case $90.93 (-29%)

Market implied -28.7%, PE stable at 28.3

Bear Case $86.68 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.8 to 41.6

Stabilization Target: $133.54 (+4.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +4.7%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM

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