PLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLD - PROLOGIS, INC.
$141.80
1.12 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
-2.29%
90d:
-1.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 14, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $141.48 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PLD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PLD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.40
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLD is currently trading at $141.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.97 to $146.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.3) is in line with its historical norms (42.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 85.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $142.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PLD scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.31 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $142.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PLD scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.31 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$139.97 -
$146.85
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($158.31)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.97 -
$146.85
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.22
Resistance Level
$142.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.32
Wall Street Target
$158.31
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.3%
Profit Margin
43.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.3 vs 42.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$139.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$139.28
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$138.58
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→42)
$140.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.3, Growth: 2.3%)
$150.40
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.3%)
$73.06
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 2.3%)
$62.10
(-56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 31.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.49
Bull Case
$117.87
(-17%)
Analyst growth -24.2%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$107.16
(-24%)
Market implied -24.2%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$96.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.3 to 42.0
Stabilization Target:
$143.01
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is PLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-20
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
David Taylor
SELL
2026-02-26
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLD price and gamma walls.
