ORI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORI - Old Republic International Corporation
$39.85
0.77 (1.97%)
▲
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+0.5%
90d:
+4.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.93
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORI is currently trading at $39.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.61 to $39.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.61 -
$39.45
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.61 -
$39.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.65
Resistance Level
$39.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.72
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.7%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.88
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$38.69
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$38.50
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$39.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$93.23
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$50.18
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 8.7%)
$42.66
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.06
Bull Case
$34.94
(-11%)
Analyst growth -17.9%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$31.77
(-19%)
Market implied -17.9%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$26.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$39.67
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Eric Smith
BUY
1135 shares
2026-03-02
Carolyn Monroe
SELL
5526 shares
2026-02-02
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