ORI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORI - Old Republic International Corporation
$42.04
0.61 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+1.13%
30d:
+9.48%
90d:
+2.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ORI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.04
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORI is currently trading at $42.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.74 to $41.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.74 -
$41.06
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.74 -
$41.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.65
Resistance Level
$39.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.7%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.88
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$43.74
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$44.61
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$91.38
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$53.18
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$45.20
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.04
Bull Case
$37.50
(-10%)
Analyst growth -17.5%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$34.09
(-18%)
Market implied -17.5%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$28.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Eric Smith
BUY
1135 shares
2026-03-02
Carolyn Monroe
SELL
5526 shares
2026-02-02
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