Is CB stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CB is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of CB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CB to be between $331.71 and $351.49. The current price is $363.95.

What is the analyst price target for CB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CB is $368.26. This implies a potential upside of 1.2% from current levels.

Chubb (CB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CB - Chubb Limited

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

$363.95

9.00 (2.54%) ▲

5d: +3.16%

30d: +8.57%

90d: +1.17%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CB Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 20, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 22, 2026 at $363.95 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 2.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$398.16

Based on 3.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$247.23

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $363.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $331.71 to $351.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $364.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CB scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $331.71 - $351.49

Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 27.1%

Protect Your Profits

CB is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($368.26)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 6.1% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $331.71 - $351.49

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $340.97

Resistance Level $364.86

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.42

Wall Street Target $368.26 (+1.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -0.7%

Profit Margin 18.1%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.5% premium

PE vs Historical 12.4 vs 11.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $373.05 (+3%)

2-Year Target $382.37 (+5%)

3-Year Target $391.93 (+8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) PE COMPRESSION $362.79 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.8%) $631.86 (+74%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 2.8%) $395.28 (+9%)

Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 2.8%) $335.99 (-8%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 12.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.35

Bull Case $403.45 (+11%)

Analyst growth 3.3%, PE expands to 13.8

Base Case $366.77 (+1%)

Market implied 3.3%, PE stable at 12.5

Bear Case $241.37 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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