CB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CB - Chubb Limited
$354.74
6.91 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
-0.5%
30d:
+7.31%
90d:
+8.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
7d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$443.88
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$275.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $354.74, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $319.36 to $348.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $365.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $365.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$319.36 -
$348.11
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($351.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$319.36 -
$348.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$339.19
Resistance Level
$365.29
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$351.65
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.7%
Profit Margin
18.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$352.70
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$357.64
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$362.64
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$347.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$797.02
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$435.23
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 7.8%)
$369.95
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.68
Bull Case
$404.22
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.7%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$367.47
(+6%)
Market implied 5.7%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$236.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-26
Olivier Steimer
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-19
Timothy Alan Boroughs
SELL
27817 shares
2026-02-06
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