Chubb (CB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CB - Chubb Limited

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
$338.25
-0.42 (-0.12%) ▼
5d: -2.87%
30d: -1.48%
90d: +3.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CB Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $341.59 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 5.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$417.16
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$259.02
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $338.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $339.27 to $348.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $333.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $339.27 - $348.36
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($366.13)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 6.1% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $339.27 - $348.36
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $333.63
Resistance Level $349.03
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.62
Wall Street Target $366.13 (+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -0.7%
Profit Margin 18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 11.6 vs 11.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $339.26 (+0%)
2-Year Target $340.28 (+1%)
3-Year Target $341.30 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) PE COMPRESSION $337.78 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.0%) $679.87 (+101%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 5.0%) $391.67 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 9.9, Growth: 5.0%) $332.92 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.23
Bull Case $384.14 (+14%)
Analyst growth 3.1%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case $349.22 (+3%)
Market implied 3.1%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case $230.30 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr. SELL 2026-03-26
Olivier Steimer SELL 2000 shares 2026-03-19

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Advanced CB Option Strategies

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