CB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CB - Chubb Limited
$350.68
0.53 (0.15%)
▲
5d:
-2.52%
30d:
-0.3%
90d:
+7.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$420.61
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$261.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $350.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $338.85 to $358.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $338.05, while resistance sits at $365.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $338.05, while resistance sits at $365.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$338.85 -
$358.47
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($365.26)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 6.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$338.85 -
$358.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$338.05
Resistance Level
$365.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.03
Wall Street Target
$365.26
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$356.29
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$361.99
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$367.78
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$351.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.3%)
$705.25
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 5.3%)
$409.40
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 5.3%)
$347.99
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.31
Bull Case
$410.99
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.7%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$373.63
(+7%)
Market implied 6.7%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$238.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-26
Olivier Steimer
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-19
Timothy Alan Boroughs
SELL
27817 shares
2026-02-06
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