ORI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORI - Old Republic International Corporation
$39.85
0.77 (1.97%)
▲
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+0.5%
90d:
+4.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.93
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORI is currently trading at $39.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.61 to $39.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.61 -
$39.45
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.61 -
$39.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.65
Resistance Level
$39.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.96
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.7%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.93
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$40.01
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$40.09
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$93.23
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.7%)
$51.17
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.7%)
$43.50
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.06
Bull Case
$35.29
(-11%)
Analyst growth -17.9%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$32.09
(-20%)
Market implied -17.9%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$26.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Eric Smith
BUY
1135 shares
2026-03-02
Carolyn Monroe
SELL
5526 shares
2026-02-02
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