ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ALL - The Allstate Corporation

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
$253.83
-0.71 (-0.28%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.9%
30d: -0.27%
90d: +18.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your ALL Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $267.00 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 3.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ALL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.36
Based on -8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.88
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $253.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $250.93 to $267.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $252.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $250.93 - $267.49
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($274.32)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $250.93 - $267.49
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $252.83
Resistance Level $271.63
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.21
Wall Street Target $274.32 (+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 61.2%
Profit Margin 19.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium
PE vs Historical 9.2 vs 8.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $259.41 (+2%)
2-Year Target $265.12 (+4%)
3-Year Target $270.95 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $253.11 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -21.5%) $403.39 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -21.5%) $185.04 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: -21.5%) $157.29 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $48.95
Bull Case $157.71 (-38%)
Analyst growth -43.7%, PE expands to 5.7
Base Case $143.37 (-44%)
Market implied -43.7%, PE stable at 5.2
Bear Case $173.09 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ALL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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