The Allstate (ALL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$251.04
1.13 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
+6.3%
30d:
+9.39%
90d:
-1.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.64
Based on -8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $251.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $224.61 to $248.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$224.61 -
$248.38
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($269.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$224.61 -
$248.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$224.75
Resistance Level
$253.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.93
Wall Street Target
$269.27
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.2%
Profit Margin
19.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$253.55
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$256.09
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$258.65
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$252.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -21.8%)
$407.03
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -21.8%)
$183.01
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: -21.8%)
$155.56
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $49.98
Bull Case
$154.63
(-38%)
Analyst growth -43.7%, PE expands to 5.5
Base Case
$140.58
(-44%)
Market implied -43.7%, PE stable at 5.0
Bear Case
$169.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALL price and gamma walls.
