ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$264.08
-1.30 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
+1.58%
30d:
+8.62%
90d:
+21.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ALL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.42
Based on -5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $264.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $237.44 to $261.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $247.29, while resistance sits at $277.22.
Market Sentiment: ALL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $247.29, while resistance sits at $277.22.
Market Sentiment: ALL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$237.44 -
$261.20
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($254.68)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.3% growth expectation is conservative given 338% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$237.44 -
$261.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$247.29
Resistance Level
$277.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.96
Wall Street Target
$254.68
(-3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
338.4%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 8.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$278.08
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$292.81
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$308.33
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$263.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -15.7%)
$400.61
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -15.7%)
$192.51
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: -15.7%)
$163.64
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $45.19
Bull Case
$171.24
(-35%)
Analyst growth -41.3%, PE expands to 6.5
Base Case
$155.67
(-41%)
Market implied -41.3%, PE stable at 5.9
Bear Case
$180.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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