Is ALL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ALL is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of ALL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ALL to be between $255.16 and $265.08. The current price is $253.71.

What is the analyst price target for ALL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ALL is $274.77. This implies a potential upside of 9.1% from current levels.

The Allstate (ALL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ALL - The Allstate Corporation

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

$253.71

1.92 (0.76%) ▲

5d: -3.57%

30d: -0.83%

90d: +15.55%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ALL Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $259.57 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -21.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$147.82

Based on -8.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$91.79

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $253.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $255.16 to $265.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $250.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ALL scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $255.16 - $265.08

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($274.77)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $255.16 - $265.08

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $250.33

Resistance Level $266.45

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.12

Wall Street Target $274.77 (+9.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 61.2%

Profit Margin 19.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium

PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 8.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $256.07 (+2%)

2-Year Target $260.42 (+3%)

3-Year Target $264.85 (+5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $252.65 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -21.6%) $405.94 (+61%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -21.6%) $183.55 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: -21.6%) $156.02 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 5.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $49.93

Bull Case $154.23 (-39%)

Analyst growth -44.7%, PE expands to 5.6

Base Case $140.21 (-44%)

Market implied -44.7%, PE stable at 5.1

Bear Case $172.43 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced ALL Option Strategies

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