HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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The Hartford Insurance Group (HIG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$137.18
-0.62 (-0.45%)
▼
5d:
-0.67%
30d:
+4.57%
90d:
-0.46%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
0d
Protect HIG Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$129.88 – $136.99
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.1x
FAIR
vs 9.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$146.14
+6.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$131.71 / $141.33
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HIG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $133.99 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.42
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIG is currently trading at $137.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.88 to $136.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $131.71, while resistance sits at $141.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $131.71, while resistance sits at $141.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$129.88 -
$136.99
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$129.88 -
$136.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$131.71
Resistance Level
$141.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.07
Wall Street Target
$146.14
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$138.83
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$140.49
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$142.18
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$136.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.6%)
$292.44
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 2.6%)
$148.28
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 2.6%)
$126.04
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.94
Bull Case
$138.21
(+1%)
Analyst growth -8.8%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$125.65
(-8%)
Market implied -8.8%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$93.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HIG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
HIG is selling Hartford Funds to Wellington Financial for approximately $1.9B, generating $300M in upfront cash and $170M in dividends. This transaction is expected to result in a short-term GAAP loss of $150M but will focus the company on its core insurance operations.
Key Retail Themes:
Company Focus
Cash Inflow
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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