PFGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFGC - Performance Food Group Company
$104.39
1.78 (1.73%)
▲
5d:
+0.28%
30d:
+9.68%
90d:
+25.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PFGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PFGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.16
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFGC is currently trading at $104.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.84 to $102.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.42 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.42 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$94.84 -
$102.49
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($119.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.84 -
$102.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.69
Resistance Level
$100.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.10
Wall Street Target
$119.42
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.8%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 15.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.13
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$116.19
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$122.58
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$104.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.9%)
$244.69
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 24.9%)
$203.35
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 24.9%)
$172.85
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.10
Bull Case
$227.33
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.1
Base Case
$206.66
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.2
Bear Case
$70.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chasity D Grosh
SELL
1843 shares
2026-02-10
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