PFGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFGC - Performance Food Group Company
$113.31
-0.05 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.38%
30d:
+12.48%
90d:
+27.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
28d
Get Alerted When PFGC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PFGC trades at premium valuation expecting 8.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PFGC trades at premium valuation expecting 8.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.72
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFGC is currently trading at $113.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.07 to $111.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$99.07 -
$111.65
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($118.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.0% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.07 -
$111.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.69
Resistance Level
$100.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.86
Wall Street Target
$118.08
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.8%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.0% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 15.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.37
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$132.16
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$142.74
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.5%)
$240.09
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.5%)
$218.92
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 24.5%)
$174.17
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.69
Bull Case
$136.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$113.31
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$86.68
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PFGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chasity D Grosh
SELL
1843 shares
2026-02-10
Top Rated Food Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Food Distribution by analyst ratings.
