UNFI
United Natural Foods Inc
WHOLESALE-GROCERIES, GENERAL LINE
United Natural Foods (UNFI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$48.70
+1.09 (+2.29%)
▲
5d:
+7.51%
30d:
+0.91%
90d:
+1.23%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
22d
Protect UNFI Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$45.15 – $47.99
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.0x
CHEAP
vs 14.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$53.00
+8.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
2th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$44.97 / $49.46
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UNFI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.66
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UNFI is currently trading at $48.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.15 to $47.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UNFI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UNFI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.15 -
$47.99
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.15 -
$47.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.71
(7.6%)
Support Level
$44.97
Resistance Level
$49.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding UNFI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.00
Wall Street Target
$53.00
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.3%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 14.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.39
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$42.30
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$39.43
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$48.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 58.3%)
$272.13
(+459%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 58.3%)
$164.36
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 58.3%)
$139.71
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.33
Bull Case
$104.74
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.4
Base Case
$95.22
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.8
Bear Case
$32.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$60.09
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UNFI)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Consumer stocks showed mixed performance Tuesday afternoon, with United Natural Foods Inc. ($UNFI) experiencing a revenue miss and subsequent stock decline.
Key Retail Themes:
revenue miss
earnings reaction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 11:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UNFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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