PFGC
Performance Food Group Company
WHOLESALE-GROCERIES, GENERAL LINE
Performance Food Group (PFGC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$109.96
-1.25 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
+0.26%
30d:
+15.65%
90d:
+2.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
21/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$93.23 – $105.73
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.3x
STRETCHED
vs 16.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$128.58
+16.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$95.96 / $112.65
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PFGC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.00
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFGC is currently trading at $109.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.23 to $105.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.58 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.58 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$93.23 -
$105.73
Company Quality Score
21/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
25.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$93.23 -
$105.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$95.96
Resistance Level
$112.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($128.58)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 21/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.26
Wall Street Target
$128.58
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.7%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 16.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.90
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$122.16
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$128.75
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$110.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 0.0%)
$113.39
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$109.96
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 0.0%)
$93.47
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$244.66
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.7
Base Case
$222.42
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.3
Bear Case
$75.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PFGC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users express bullish sentiment towards $PFGC, as the stock breaks out of a channel. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
stock breakout
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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