PFGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFGC - Performance Food Group Company
$106.43
2.04 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
+1.84%
30d:
+13.67%
90d:
+27.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PFGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PFGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.16
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFGC is currently trading at $106.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.01 to $103.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.42 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.42 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$95.01 -
$103.13
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($119.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.2% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.01 -
$103.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.69
Resistance Level
$100.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.45
Wall Street Target
$119.42
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.8%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 15.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$113.03
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$120.04
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$127.48
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.9%)
$244.69
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 24.9%)
$207.33
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 24.9%)
$173.01
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.96 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.33
Bull Case
$128.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$106.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$81.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chasity D Grosh
SELL
1843 shares
2026-02-10
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