Performance Food Group (PFGC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFGC - Performance Food Group Company
$93.94
-0.41 (-0.43%)
▼
5d:
-5.25%
30d:
-12.54%
90d:
-9.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PFGC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PFGC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.20
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFGC is currently trading at $93.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.76 to $110.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PFGC scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.62 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PFGC scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.62 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$98.76 -
$110.89
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($123.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.76 -
$110.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.05
Resistance Level
$102.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.45
Wall Street Target
$123.62
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.7%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 16.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.13
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$94.32
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$94.50
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 0.0%)
$115.16
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 0.0%)
$93.94
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 0.0%)
$79.85
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.25
Bull Case
$207.57
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.1
Base Case
$188.70
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.9
Bear Case
$64.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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