Sysco (SYY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SYY - Sysco Corporation

WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS
$77.49
-0.28 (-0.36%) ▼
5d: -1.24%
30d: -5.22%
90d: -8.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SYY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.29
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.38
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SYY is currently trading at $77.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.23 to $82.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SYY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SYY scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.83 (+17.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $78.23 - $82.40
Company Quality Score 68/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.83)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $78.23 - $82.40
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $77.00
Resistance Level $79.30
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.68
Wall Street Target $90.83 (+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.3%
Profit Margin 2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 16.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $76.95 (-1%)
2-Year Target $76.41 (-1%)
3-Year Target $75.87 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→16) $77.44 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.8%) $126.34 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 7.8%) $97.09 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 13.3, Growth: 7.8%) $82.53 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.66
Bull Case $115.53 (+49%)
Analyst growth 35.1%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case $105.03 (+36%)
Market implied 35.1%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case $52.88 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 16.0
Stabilization Target: $79.09 (+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.1%
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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