US Foods (USFD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USFD - US Foods Holding Corp.
$95.34
-0.72 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
-8.69%
30d:
-14.06%
90d:
+4.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USFD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USFD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.19
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USFD is currently trading at $95.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.23 to $110.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USFD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: USFD scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.88 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USFD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: USFD scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.88 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$101.23 -
$110.06
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($115.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.23 -
$110.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.89
Resistance Level
$108.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.26
Wall Street Target
$115.88
(+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.2%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.63
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$95.91
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$96.20
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$95.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.3%)
$170.78
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$146.17
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$124.25
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.21
Bull Case
$181.79
(+91%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$165.26
(+73%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$65.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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