USFD
US Foods Holding Corp.
WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS
US Foods (USFD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$109.75
-0.10 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
-0.16%
30d:
+12.09%
90d:
-0.31%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect USFD Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$97.55 – $105.98
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.9x
STRETCHED
vs 17.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$118.07
+7.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$101.00 / $112.57
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USFD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $103.61 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
Get Alerted When USFD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.48
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USFD is currently trading at $109.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.55 to $105.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USFD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: USFD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USFD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: USFD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$97.55 -
$105.98
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$97.55 -
$105.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$101.00
Resistance Level
$112.57
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding USFD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($118.07)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.87
Wall Street Target
$118.07
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 17.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.13
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$120.77
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$126.69
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$109.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.3%)
$172.80
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.3%)
$172.76
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 16.3%)
$146.84
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.58
Bull Case
$186.47
(+70%)
Analyst growth 54.3%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$169.52
(+55%)
Market implied 54.3%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$74.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share USFD Analysis
Share this live USFD analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (USFD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 15, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
US Foods (USFD) will report third quarter 2026 financial results on November 5, 2026. The conference call and webcast details have been announced.
Key Retail Themes:
Company Announcement
Financial Results
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is USFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Food Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Food Distribution by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CHEF
The Chefs Warehouse Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$126 | 62 BUY |
|
AVO
Mission Produce Inc |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$16 | 61 BUY |
|
SYY
Sysco Corporation |
BUY
14 analysts |
$91 | 57 HOLD |
|
PFGC
Performance Food Group Co |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$127 | 26 SELL |
|
UNFI
United Natural Foods Inc |
HOLD
10 analysts |
$53 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced USFD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's USFD price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive USFD Research Pages
