R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$244.93
-4.80 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
-7.47%
30d:
-8.5%
90d:
+0.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: R shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: R shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.47
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.53
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $244.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.73 to $270.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $243.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: R scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $243.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: R scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$254.73 -
$270.10
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($299.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$254.73 -
$270.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$243.54
Resistance Level
$266.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.82
Wall Street Target
$299.56
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$245.91
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$246.89
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$247.88
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$245.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.8%)
$625.64
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 20.8%)
$431.33
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 20.8%)
$366.63
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.31
Bull Case
$395.41
(+61%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$359.46
(+47%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$169.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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