R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$268.06
2.76 (1.04%)
▲
5d:
+0.8%
30d:
-4.38%
90d:
+21.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$433.67
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.27
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $268.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $262.21 to $273.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.86, while resistance sits at $278.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.86, while resistance sits at $278.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$262.21 -
$273.50
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($281.56)
- BEARISH: Market expects 3.9% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$262.21 -
$273.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$244.86
Resistance Level
$278.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.09
Wall Street Target
$281.56
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$278.51
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$289.38
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$300.66
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$268.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.5%)
$693.55
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 21.5%)
$480.54
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 21.5%)
$408.46
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.05
Bull Case
$436.05
(+63%)
Analyst growth 47.4%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$396.40
(+48%)
Market implied 47.4%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$182.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John J Diez
SELL
9632 shares
2026-02-25
Robert E Sanchez
SELL
41779 shares
2026-02-24
Rajeev Ravindran
SELL
2696 shares
2026-02-19
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