AL
Air Lease Corporation
SERVICES-EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING, NEC
Air Lease (AL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$65.00
+0.02 (+0.03%)
▲
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+0.74%
90d:
+1.29%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (74%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.6x
FAIR
vs 8.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$65.00
Consensus price target
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$64.68 / $65.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.56
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.03
4.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AL is currently trading at $65.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AL scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AL scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
73.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$64.68
Resistance Level
$65.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 7, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.62
Wall Street Target
$65.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.9%
Profit Margin
36.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$61.54
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$59.88
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$65.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$262.39
(+304%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$97.26
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 14.4%)
$82.67
(+27%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$70.76
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AL)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on AL are bearish (sentiment score -0.30) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Part A: Deep-Dive AL Research Pages
