Air Lease (AL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AL - Air Lease Corporation
$65.00
0.02 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+0.74%
90d:
+1.29%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When AL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.56
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.03
4.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AL is currently trading at $65.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AL scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AL scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.68
Resistance Level
$65.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.62
Wall Street Target
$65.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.9%
Profit Margin
36.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$61.54
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$59.88
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$65.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$262.39
(+304%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$97.26
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 14.4%)
$82.67
(+27%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$70.76
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Rental & Leasing Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Rental & Leasing Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
URI
United Rentals Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$1269 | 61 BUY |
|
FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$339 | 65 BUY |
|
AER
AerCap Holdings NV |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$179 | 53 HOLD |
|
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc |
BUY
10 analysts |
$189 | 62 BUY |
|
CAR
Avis Budget Group Inc |
BUY
9 analysts |
$129 | 64 BUY |
