URI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
URI - United Rentals, Inc.
$1079.26
10.63 (0.99%)
▲
5d:
-5.46%
30d:
-2.92%
90d:
+12.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: URI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: URI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1550.84
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$962.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URI is currently trading at $1079.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1048.16 to $1122.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $994.86, while resistance sits at $1177.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1261.88 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $994.86, while resistance sits at $1177.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1261.88 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$1048.16 -
$1122.51
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding URI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1261.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1048.16 -
$1122.51
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$54.00
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$994.86
Resistance Level
$1177.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.13
Wall Street Target
$1261.88
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1113.80
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$1149.44
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$1186.22
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1078.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$1792.76
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 15.3%)
$1654.37
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$1406.21
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.10
Bull Case
$1575.27
(+46%)
Analyst growth 34.0%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$1432.06
(+33%)
Market implied 34.0%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$726.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is URI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew B Limoges
SELL
548 shares
2026-04-24
Matthew John Flannery
SELL
22768 shares
2026-04-24
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-25
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Advanced URI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's URI price and gamma walls.
