United Rentals (URI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
URI - United Rentals, Inc.
$1105.36
36.38 (3.40%)
▲
5d:
+5.52%
30d:
+7.11%
90d:
-3.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: URI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: URI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1657.45
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1029.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URI is currently trading at $1105.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1011.99 to $1064.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1077.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1261.10 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1077.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1261.10 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1011.99 -
$1064.56
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.3%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1261.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1011.99 -
$1064.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1005.64
Resistance Level
$1077.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.48
Wall Street Target
$1261.10
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1083.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$1099.12
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$1114.51
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$1067.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.4%)
$1813.33
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.4%)
$1687.28
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$1434.19
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $41.57
Bull Case
$1597.86
(+50%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$1452.60
(+36%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$709.83
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is URI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced URI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's URI price and gamma walls.
