URI United Rentals, Inc. SERVICES-EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING, NEC

United Rentals (URI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$1150.80
+45.86 (+4.15%) ▲
5d: +2.4% 30d: +8.51% 90d: +2.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$1041.97 – $1148.10
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.7x FAIR
vs 17.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$1295.43
+12.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1036.39 / $1202.12
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: URI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1853.72
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1151.01
0.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: URI is currently trading at $1150.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1041.97 to $1148.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.7) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1036.39, while resistance sits at $1202.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1295.43 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $1041.97 - $1148.10
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $1041.97 - $1148.10
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$62.83 (5.5%)
Support Level $1036.39
Resistance Level $1202.12
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1295.43)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.73
Wall Street Target $1295.43 (+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.4%
Profit Margin 16.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.8% premium
PE vs Historical 18.7 vs 17.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1171.51 (+2%)
2-Year Target $1192.60 (+4%)
3-Year Target $1214.07 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $1153.71 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.5%) $2030.84 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 18.5%) $1915.41 (+66%)
Bear: (PE: 15.9, Growth: 18.5%) $1628.10 (+42%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $45.43
Bull Case $1678.26 (+52%)
Analyst growth 35.2%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case $1525.69 (+38%)
Market implied 35.2%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case $767.16 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (URI)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment dominates $URI on StockTwits with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check

Is URI showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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