United Rentals (URI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
URI - United Rentals, Inc.
$1034.11
33.33 (3.33%)
â˛
5d:
+1.22%
30d:
+4.44%
90d:
-5.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: URI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: URI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1638.67
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1017.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URI is currently trading at $1034.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $995.35 to $1045.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1056.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1269.33 (+22.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1056.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1269.33 (+22.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$995.35 -
$1045.26
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding URI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($1269.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$995.35 -
$1045.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$61.23
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$973.29
Resistance Level
$1056.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.04
Wall Street Target
$1269.33
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1041.35
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$1048.64
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$1055.98
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$1035.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.3%)
$1839.05
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 16.3%)
$1626.45
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 16.3%)
$1382.48
(+34%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $41.03
Bull Case
$1537.87
(+49%)
Analyst growth 39.7%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$1398.06
(+35%)
Market implied 39.7%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$680.53
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is URI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew B Limoges
SELL
548 shares
2026-04-24
Matthew John Flannery
SELL
22768 shares
2026-04-24
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Advanced URI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's URI price and gamma walls.
