R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$260.38
2.32 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
+4.41%
30d:
+11.77%
90d:
+21.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: R shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: R shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$400.43
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$248.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $260.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $232.60 to $251.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $261.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: R has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $261.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: R has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$232.60 -
$251.75
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($260.88)
- BEARISH: Market expects 4.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$232.60 -
$251.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$228.76
Resistance Level
$261.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.88
Wall Street Target
$260.88
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$271.84
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$283.80
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$296.28
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$260.77
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 19.9%)
$660.57
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 19.9%)
$448.76
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 19.9%)
$381.44
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.05
Bull Case
$398.26
(+60%)
Analyst growth 45.2%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$362.05
(+46%)
Market implied 45.2%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$169.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John J Diez
SELL
9632 shares
2026-02-25
Robert E Sanchez
SELL
41779 shares
2026-02-24
Rajeev Ravindran
SELL
2696 shares
2026-02-19
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