Ryder System (R) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$270.90
5.37 (2.02%)
▲
5d:
+13.64%
30d:
+14.67%
90d:
+0.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: R shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: R shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$423.59
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$263.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $270.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $230.34 to $247.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $271.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: R scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $271.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: R scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$230.34 -
$247.23
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($288.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$230.34 -
$247.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$230.99
Resistance Level
$271.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.38
Wall Street Target
$288.33
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$282.01
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$293.57
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$305.61
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$272.30
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.1%)
$606.35
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 20.1%)
$469.44
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 20.1%)
$399.03
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.60
Bull Case
$378.39
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.5%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$343.99
(+27%)
Market implied 29.5%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$180.56
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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