R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$263.36
-1.70 (-0.64%)
▼
5d:
-5.0%
30d:
+10.45%
90d:
+32.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: R shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: R shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$410.48
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$254.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $263.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $243.65 to $273.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.86, while resistance sits at $278.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $244.86, while resistance sits at $278.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$243.65 -
$273.61
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($269.25)
- BEARISH: Market expects 4.1% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$243.65 -
$273.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$244.86
Resistance Level
$278.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.01
Wall Street Target
$269.25
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$274.16
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$285.40
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$297.10
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$263.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.2%)
$663.53
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 20.2%)
$457.19
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 20.2%)
$388.61
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.04
Bull Case
$424.98
(+61%)
Analyst growth 45.8%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$386.34
(+47%)
Market implied 45.8%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$180.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John J Diez
SELL
9632 shares
2026-02-25
Robert E Sanchez
SELL
41779 shares
2026-02-24
Rajeev Ravindran
SELL
2696 shares
2026-02-19
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