R Ryder System, Inc. SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)

Ryder System (R) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$279.04
-3.23 (-1.14%) â–ŧ
5d: +3.29% 30d: +17.33% 90d: +5.71%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$238.98 – $280.40
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.4x FAIR
vs 13.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$303.67
+8.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$266.00 / $291.03
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: R is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$451.60
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$280.41
0.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $279.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $238.98 to $280.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, R is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $266.00, while resistance sits at $291.02.

Market Sentiment: R scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $238.98 - $280.40
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $238.98 - $280.40
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $266.00
Resistance Level $291.03
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($303.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.39
Wall Street Target $303.67 (+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.5%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.8% premium
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 13.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $289.64 (+4%)
2-Year Target $300.65 (+8%)
3-Year Target $312.07 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $279.88 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.4%) $644.65 (+131%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 21.4%) $499.47 (+79%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 21.4%) $424.55 (+52%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.16
Bull Case $427.86 (+53%)
Analyst growth 37.8%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case $388.97 (+39%)
Market implied 37.8%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case $191.94 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (R)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Ryder System (R) is anticipated to report earnings growth in its upcoming Q2 report, which may impact its stock price. The consensus estimates suggest an EPS of $3.71 and revenues of $3.28 billion, representing YoY increases of 11.8% and 2.9%, respectively.
Key Retail Themes: earnings prospects price sensitivity
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Net
NEUTRAL

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