R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$244.07
-5.66 (-2.27%)
▼
5d:
-7.79%
30d:
-8.82%
90d:
+0.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: R is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: R is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.47
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.53
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $244.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.63 to $270.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $246.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+20.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $246.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+20.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$254.63 -
$270.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($299.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$254.63 -
$270.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$246.55
Resistance Level
$266.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.99
Wall Street Target
$299.56
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$249.83
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$251.83
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$253.85
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$248.62
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.8%)
$626.26
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 20.8%)
$436.47
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$371.00
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.90
Bull Case
$410.36
(+64%)
Analyst growth 48.9%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$373.05
(+49%)
Market implied 48.9%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$170.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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