Ryder System (R) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$237.24
6.32 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
+0.71%
30d:
-2.42%
90d:
-9.62%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: R shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: R shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$428.60
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$266.12
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $237.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $234.88 to $246.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $241.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: R scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $294.56 (+24.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $241.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: R scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $294.56 (+24.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$234.88 -
$246.18
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($294.56)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$234.88 -
$246.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$223.30
Resistance Level
$241.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.42
Wall Street Target
$294.56
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$235.82
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$234.40
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$233.00
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$237.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$630.47
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$414.84
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$352.62
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.47
Bull Case
$360.02
(+52%)
Analyst growth 41.7%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$327.29
(+38%)
Market implied 41.7%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$157.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$242.13
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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