Ryder System (R) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$243.30
1.70 (0.70%)
▲
5d:
-1.49%
30d:
-7.48%
90d:
-13.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: R is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: R is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.47
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.53
9.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $243.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $244.05 to $260.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $240.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $240.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$244.05 -
$260.28
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($299.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$244.05 -
$260.28
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$240.56
Resistance Level
$250.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.73
Wall Street Target
$299.56
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$243.54
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$243.79
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$244.03
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$243.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.8%)
$629.38
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 20.8%)
$428.46
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 20.8%)
$364.19
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.15
Bull Case
$387.57
(+59%)
Analyst growth 45.8%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$352.34
(+45%)
Market implied 45.8%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$164.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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