Ferrari (RACE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RACE - Ferrari N.V.
$413.32
-2.81 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+1.57%
30d:
-5.32%
90d:
+19.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RACE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RACE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$393.78
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$244.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RACE is currently trading at $413.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $407.75 to $422.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.6) is in line with its historical norms (35.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $419.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $461.85 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $419.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $461.85 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$407.75 -
$422.72
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RACE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($461.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$407.75 -
$422.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$16.00
(3.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$400.82
Resistance Level
$419.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.62
Wall Street Target
$461.85
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
37.6 vs 35.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$422.41
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$431.71
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$441.20
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$413.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$564.78
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$305.65
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 11.0%)
$259.80
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.66
Bull Case
$461.05
(+11%)
Analyst growth 3.1%, PE expands to 42.0
Base Case
$419.14
(+1%)
Market implied 3.1%, PE stable at 38.2
Bear Case
$276.55
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RACE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced RACE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RACE price and gamma walls.
