RACE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RACE - Ferrari N.V.
$393.87
-3.86 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
+9.37%
30d:
+5.13%
90d:
+13.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RACE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RACE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$389.72
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$241.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RACE is currently trading at $393.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $359.48 to $385.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.1) is in line with its historical norms (34.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $403.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RACE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $443.83 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $403.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RACE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $443.83 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$359.48 -
$385.64
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($443.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$359.48 -
$385.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$356.32
Resistance Level
$403.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.13
Wall Street Target
$443.83
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
36.1 vs 34.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$394.82
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$399.56
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$404.35
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$390.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$537.61
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$309.67
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$263.22
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.26
Bull Case
$439.96
(+12%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 40.7
Base Case
$399.96
(+2%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case
$258.41
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RACE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RACE price and gamma walls.
