RACE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RACE - Ferrari N.V.
$344.16
-4.26 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-6.75%
30d:
-1.5%
90d:
+4.56%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RACE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RACE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$380.26
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$236.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RACE is currently trading at $344.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $335.24 to $359.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.5) is in line with its historical norms (35.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $327.20, while resistance sits at $363.10.
Market Sentiment: RACE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $436.59 (+25.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $327.20, while resistance sits at $363.10.
Market Sentiment: RACE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $436.59 (+25.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$335.24 -
$359.33
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RACE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($436.59)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$335.24 -
$359.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$17.63
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$327.20
Resistance Level
$363.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.47
Wall Street Target
$436.59
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.5 vs 35.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$339.71
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$331.22
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$322.94
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→35)
$348.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$469.68
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$315.07
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$267.81
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.43
Bull Case
$397.16
(+14%)
Analyst growth 2.9%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$361.06
(+4%)
Market implied 2.9%, PE stable at 33.7
Bear Case
$238.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.5 to 35.0
Stabilization Target:
$375.60
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RACE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced RACE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RACE price and gamma walls.
