Is SAIL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SAIL is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAIL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of SAIL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SAIL to be between $18.05 and $19.88. The current price is $20.36.

What is the analyst price target for SAIL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SAIL is $20.84. This implies a potential upside of 2.4% from current levels.

SailPoint (SAIL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$20.36

0.38 (1.90%) ▲

5d: +15.81%

30d: +9.52%

90d: +44.5%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 09, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $18.09 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAIL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$13.18

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.18

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $20.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.05 to $19.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 75.2) compared to its historical average (56.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $18.05 - $19.88

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 45.2%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.84)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.0% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.05 - $19.88

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.62

Resistance Level $20.59

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 16, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 75.21

Wall Street Target $20.84 (+2.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%

Profit Margin -16.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +10.0% premium

PE vs Historical 75.2 vs 56.5 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +10.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $22.40 (+10%)

2-Year Target $24.64 (+21%)

3-Year Target $27.10 (+33%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 75→57) PE COMPRESSION $20.36 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 75.2, Growth: 42.8%) $59.35 (+192%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 42.8%) $15.93 (-22%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 42.8%) $13.54 (-34%)

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Last updated: September 17, 2026 12:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Brian Carolan SELL 47444 shares 2026-04-09

Chandrasekar Gnanasamban… SELL 20082 shares 2026-04-09

Christopher Schmitt SELL 18813 shares 2026-04-09

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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for SAIL

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SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

About

SailPoint Inc delivers solutions to enable comprehensive identity security for the enterprise. The company does this by unifying identity data across systems and identity types, including employee identities, non-employee identities, and machine identities. The SaaS and customer-hosted offerings of the company leverage intelligent analytics to give organizations critical visibility into which identities currently have access to which resources, which identities should have access to those resources, and how that access is being used. Its solutions enable organizations to establish, control, and automate policies that help them define and maintain a robust security posture and achieve regulatory compliance.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $12,685,718,305

Listed Since: 2025-02-13

Website: Visit

Phone: (512) 346-2000

Address:

11120 FOUR POINTS DRIVE
AUSTIN, TX 78726

CIK: 0002030781

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