SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$64.38
0.26 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
-3.75%
30d:
-20.66%
90d:
-12.43%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
Get Alerted When SQM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.72
Based on -1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $64.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.92 to $79.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 646.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SQM scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.78 (+32.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SQM scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.78 (+32.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.92 -
$79.64
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($84.78)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 33% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.92 -
$79.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.78
Resistance Level
$71.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.13
Wall Street Target
$84.78
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
136.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
646.4%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.71
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$51.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$46.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$73.21
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -6.6%)
$116.67
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -6.6%)
$52.22
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -6.6%)
$44.39
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.77
Bull Case
$105.06
(+64%)
Analyst growth 47.2%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$95.50
(+49%)
Market implied 47.2%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$44.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$100.42
(+56.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$325 | 51 HOLD |
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$543 | 48 HOLD |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$389 | 51 HOLD |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$345 | 58 HOLD |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corp |
HOLD
28 analysts |
$172 | 56 HOLD |
