SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$81.96
3.51 (4.47%)
▲
5d:
+10.28%
30d:
+18.23%
90d:
+3.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SQM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SQM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.82
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $81.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.56 to $74.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 165.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.56, while resistance sits at $84.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SQM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.56, while resistance sits at $84.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SQM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$67.56 -
$74.65
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($84.78)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.56 -
$74.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.56
Resistance Level
$84.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$84.78
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
165.2%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.55
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$65.25
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$59.51
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$78.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.7%)
$155.06
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 3.7%)
$87.40
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 3.7%)
$74.29
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$165.84
(+102%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$150.76
(+84%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$51.26
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$103.34
(+31.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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