SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$69.88
-2.61 (-3.60%)
▼
5d:
-12.41%
30d:
-1.92%
90d:
-13.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SQM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SQM is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SQM is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.37
Based on -2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $69.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.53 to $79.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 646.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SQM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.11 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SQM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.11 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$71.53 -
$79.73
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($85.11)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.53 -
$79.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.74
Resistance Level
$81.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.40
Wall Street Target
$85.11
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
136.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
646.4%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.89
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$56.60
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$50.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→15)
$71.52
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -9.7%)
$99.91
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -9.7%)
$51.51
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: -9.7%)
$43.79
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.86
Bull Case
$110.24
(+58%)
Analyst growth 38.3%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$100.22
(+43%)
Market implied 38.3%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$49.29
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$98.10
(+40.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$325 | 46 HOLD |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$391 | 47 HOLD |
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$545 | 36 SELL |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$344 | 52 HOLD |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corp |
HOLD
28 analysts |
$173 | 48 HOLD |
