SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$76.50
-2.15 (-2.73%)
▼
5d:
-8.13%
30d:
-3.52%
90d:
+1.47%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.04
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $76.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.06 to $87.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 165.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.27, while resistance sits at $87.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.27, while resistance sits at $87.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$77.06 -
$87.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($82.61)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.06 -
$87.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.27
Resistance Level
$87.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.42
Wall Street Target
$82.61
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
165.2%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 16.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.07
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$64.19
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$58.80
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$76.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -6.0%)
$111.43
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: -6.0%)
$63.52
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: -6.0%)
$53.99
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$173.03
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$157.30
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$53.48
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$99.20
(+29.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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