SQM
Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$54.74
+0.31 (+0.57%)
▲
5d:
-4.9%
30d:
-12.88%
90d:
-24.14%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$55.58 – $62.83
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.9x
CHEAP
vs 13.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$80.39
+46.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$53.67 / $59.57
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.44
Based on -2.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $54.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.58 to $62.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 646.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.39 (+46.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.39 (+46.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$55.58 -
$62.83
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$55.58 -
$62.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$53.67
Resistance Level
$59.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.9% below Wall St target ($80.39)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$80.39
(+46.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
136.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
646.4%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.27
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$44.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.91
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→14)
$68.42
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.0%)
$107.66
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -8.0%)
$42.69
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -8.0%)
$36.28
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.86
Bull Case
$85.65
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$77.86
(+42%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$37.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$93.85
(+71.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SQM)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Feb 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SQM are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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