SUNOCO L.P. (SUN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUN - SUNOCO L.P.
$74.54
1.67 (2.29%)
▲
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
-3.18%
90d:
+9.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.82
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUN is currently trading at $74.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.04 to $77.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 185.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.93, while resistance sits at $78.72.
Market Sentiment: SUN scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.00 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.93, while resistance sits at $78.72.
Market Sentiment: SUN scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.00 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$74.04 -
$77.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.04 -
$77.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.93
Resistance Level
$78.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.37
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
164.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
185.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.05
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$71.59
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$70.16
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$74.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$249.02
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$90.01
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 6.5%)
$76.51
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.55
Bull Case
$160.31
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$145.74
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$49.55
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$78.85
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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