SUNOCO L.P. (SUN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUN - SUNOCO L.P.
$73.44
-0.12 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-1.22%
30d:
+0.44%
90d:
-1.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.77
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUN is currently trading at $73.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.36 to $77.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 185.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SUN scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.43 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SUN scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.43 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$72.36 -
$77.13
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.43)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.36 -
$77.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.68
Resistance Level
$76.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.17
Wall Street Target
$83.43
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
164.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
185.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.38
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$69.38
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$67.44
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$73.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$238.78
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$86.19
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 5.5%)
$73.26
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$161.83
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$147.12
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$50.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$79.91
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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