SUNOCO L.P. (SUN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUN - SUNOCO L.P.
$77.67
1.33 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
+4.97%
30d:
+2.81%
90d:
+20.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SUN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SUN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.13
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUN is currently trading at $77.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.58 to $76.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 185.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.58 -
$76.88
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.58 -
$76.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.62
Resistance Level
$77.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.68
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
164.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
185.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$76.43
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$75.82
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$77.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.5%)
$246.21
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 6.5%)
$93.79
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 6.5%)
$79.72
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$167.95
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$152.68
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$51.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$79.86
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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