SUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUN - SUNOCO L.P.
$65.25
2.50 (3.98%)
▲
5d:
+0.52%
30d:
-7.21%
90d:
+0.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.88
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUN is currently trading at $65.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.88 to $69.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 135.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $64.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.38 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $64.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.38 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$63.88 -
$69.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($74.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.88 -
$69.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.20
Resistance Level
$68.29
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.64
Wall Street Target
$74.38
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
106.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
135.5%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$63.95
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$63.31
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$65.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -8.5%)
$142.48
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -8.5%)
$50.00
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -8.5%)
$42.50
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.92
Bull Case
$139.70
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$127.00
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$43.18
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$67.44
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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