HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation

PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)
$107.84
0.12 (0.11%) ▲
5d: +1.59%
30d: +22.64%
90d: +54.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your DINO Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 25, 2026 at $95.16 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DINO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.01
Based on -12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.54
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $107.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.62 to $104.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.00, while resistance sits at $112.17.

Market Sentiment: DINO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $93.93. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $87.62 - $104.15
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 20.0%

Protect Your Profits

DINO is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.9% above Wall St target ($93.93)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $87.62 - $104.15
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $97.00
Resistance Level $112.17
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.74
Wall Street Target $93.93 (-12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 350.2%
Profit Margin 6.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 10.7 vs 10.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $107.95 (+0%)
2-Year Target $108.06 (+0%)
3-Year Target $108.16 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $107.73 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -28.2%) $147.60 (+37%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: -28.2%) $78.62 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 9.1, Growth: -28.2%) $66.82 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.45
Bull Case $113.82 (+6%)
Analyst growth -3.9%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case $103.47 (-4%)
Market implied -3.9%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case $73.25 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 4:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:28 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DINO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DINO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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