HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation
$122.32
-3.25 (-2.59%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.91%
30d:
+15.24%
90d:
+38.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DINO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DINO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.88
Based on -7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $122.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.29 to $123.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 350.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$108.29 -
$123.39
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DINO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($121.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.29 -
$123.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.83
Resistance Level
$129.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.20
Wall Street Target
$121.40
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
350.2%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.66
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$103.76
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$95.56
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â11)
$122.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -19.4%)
$216.09
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -19.4%)
$89.17
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -19.4%)
$75.80
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.52
Bull Case
$195.97
(+60%)
Analyst growth 41.9%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$178.16
(+46%)
Market implied 41.9%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$85.39
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$156.72
(+28.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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