DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)
HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$101.73
+2.97 (+3.01%)
▲
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
-20.67%
90d:
+10.73%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect DINO Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$106.03 – $125.30
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.7x
CHEAP
vs 10.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$122.81
+20.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$95.56 / $116.85
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: DINO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $111.89 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.69
Based on -11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $101.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.03 to $125.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $95.56, while resistance sits at $116.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.81 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $95.56, while resistance sits at $116.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.81 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$106.03 -
$125.30
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$106.03 -
$125.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$95.56
Resistance Level
$116.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding DINO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($122.81)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 10% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.70
Wall Street Target
$122.81
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
430.6%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$82.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$74.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→10)
$134.00
(+32%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -27.1%)
$258.37
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: -27.1%)
$74.16
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: -27.1%)
$63.04
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.42
Bull Case
$99.83
(-2%)
Analyst growth -8.1%, PE expands to 5.6
Base Case
$90.76
(-11%)
Market implied -8.1%, PE stable at 5.1
Bear Case
$67.16
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$183.81
(+80.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+80.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DINO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Marathon Petroleum, Valero Energy, and HF Sinclair saw significant declines in their stocks following the Democrats' win in the Senate elections, with Marathon reporting a strong quarterly earnings despite the sell-off. The article suggests investors' fears of tougher fuel regulations may be driving the sell-off.
Key Retail Themes:
market reaction to election results
fuel regulations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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