HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation
$113.36
0.66 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+6.12%
30d:
+6.88%
90d:
+52.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DINO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DINO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.52
Based on -11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $113.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.55 to $112.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 350.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.00, while resistance sits at $118.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.00, while resistance sits at $118.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$100.55 -
$112.00
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DINO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($102.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.55 -
$112.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.00
Resistance Level
$118.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.53
Wall Street Target
$102.33
(-9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
350.2%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.76
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$104.95
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$101.28
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$112.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -26.0%)
$175.85
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: -26.0%)
$82.16
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: -26.0%)
$69.83
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.49
Bull Case
$133.07
(+18%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$120.98
(+7%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$72.98
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$125.34
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DINO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DINO price and gamma walls.
