DINO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation
$81.70
3.63 (4.65%)
▲
5d:
+9.74%
30d:
+15.46%
90d:
+42.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
13d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DINO is 8.4% above its trading range ($75.38). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DINO is 8.4% above its trading range ($75.38). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.79
Based on -8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $81.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.58 to $75.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $74.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DINO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $74.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DINO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$66.58 -
$75.38
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
DINO is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($77.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.58 -
$75.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.25
Resistance Level
$74.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.03
Wall Street Target
$77.14
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.9%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.74
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$77.83
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$75.96
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$81.83
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -20.6%)
$129.40
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -20.6%)
$59.56
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: -20.6%)
$50.63
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.66
Bull Case
$105.08
(+29%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$95.53
(+17%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$53.09
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$88.02
(+7.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julia Letlow
SELL
2026-02-20
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