TEAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock
$93.29
0.93 (1.01%)
▲
5d:
+4.99%
30d:
+6.07%
90d:
+35.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
18d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$169.23
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$105.08
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $93.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.95 to $92.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 172.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $80.66, while resistance sits at $96.50.
Market Sentiment: TEAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.70 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $80.66, while resistance sits at $96.50.
Market Sentiment: TEAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.70 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.95 -
$92.72
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.7% below Wall St target ($139.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.95 -
$92.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.66
Resistance Level
$96.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.11
Wall Street Target
$139.70
(+49.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
172.2%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 18.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.13
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$81.38
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$76.01
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$93.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 12.2%)
$183.02
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$131.61
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 12.2%)
$111.87
(+20%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$114.85
(+23.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gene Liu
SELL
66 shares
2026-02-19
Joseph Leo Binz
SELL
1653 shares
2026-02-19
Rajeev Bashyam Rajan
SELL
3072 shares
2026-02-19
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Advanced TEAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.
