TXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXN - Texas Instruments Incorporated
$294.80
9.32 (3.26%)
▲
5d:
-3.14%
30d:
-3.56%
90d:
+58.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
27d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TXN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TXN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$362.92
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$225.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXN is currently trading at $294.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $290.73 to $316.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.9) is in line with its historical norms (29.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $275.78, while resistance sits at $334.03. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $275.78, while resistance sits at $334.03. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$290.73 -
$316.54
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($295.03)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$290.73 -
$316.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$275.78
Resistance Level
$334.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.90
Wall Street Target
$295.03
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.3%
Profit Margin
29.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.9 vs 29.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$292.05
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$298.76
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$305.63
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$285.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.9, Growth: 16.5%)
$451.27
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.5%)
$308.06
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.5%)
$261.85
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.85
Bull Case
$480.24
(+68%)
Analyst growth 53.0%, PE expands to 53.7
Base Case
$436.58
(+53%)
Market implied 53.0%, PE stable at 48.8
Bear Case
$194.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 30, 2026 12:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-18
Hagop H Kozanian
SELL
6843 shares
2026-02-17
Ahmad Bahai
SELL
6500 shares
2026-02-11
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