TXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXN - Texas Instruments Incorporated
$254.80
1.46 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-2.66%
30d:
-10.16%
90d:
-17.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Get Alerted When TXN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$429.90
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$266.93
4.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXN is currently trading at $254.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $262.00 to $280.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.2) compared to its historical average (29.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $250.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXN scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.71 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $250.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXN scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.71 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$262.00 -
$280.57
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($324.71)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$262.00 -
$280.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$250.43
Resistance Level
$270.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.23
Wall Street Target
$324.71
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.8%
Profit Margin
31.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 29.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$241.30
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$228.51
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$216.40
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→30)
$254.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 18.7%)
$426.66
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.7%)
$342.15
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 18.7%)
$290.83
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.38
Bull Case
$441.18
(+73%)
Analyst growth 58.3%, PE expands to 43.7
Base Case
$401.08
(+57%)
Market implied 58.3%, PE stable at 39.7
Bear Case
$172.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.2 to 29.7
Stabilization Target:
$299.98
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 03, 2026 12:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-18
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$526 | 73 BUY |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$311 | 67 BUY |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$323 | 51 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$1513 | 52 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$614 | 60 BUY |
Advanced TXN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXN price and gamma walls.
