What is the fair value of TXN stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TXN to be between $256.96 and $269.85. The current price is $272.10.

What is the analyst price target for TXN?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TXN is $324.71. This implies a potential upside of 19.6% from current levels.

Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TXN - Texas Instruments Incorporated

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$272.10

0.69 (0.25%) ▲

5d: +4.38%

30d: +5.08%

90d: -10.23%

BUY

MODERATE Confidence

Analysis Updated: Sep 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 20, 2026 26d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 22, 2026 at $269.26 · last confirmed Sep 22, 2026

Strength: 4.7/10

Get Alerted When TXN Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

TXN is flagged by 2 backtest-validated scanners today

SOXX Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.81% over the next 20 trading days; TXN has been on it 3 days), SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.46% over the next 20 trading days; TXN has been on it 3 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-09-23.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 18.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$429.90

Based on 11.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$266.93

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TXN is currently trading at $272.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $256.96 to $269.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.9) is in line with its historical norms (29.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TXN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $273.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TXN scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.71 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $256.96 - $269.85

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($324.71)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $256.96 - $269.85

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $255.82

Resistance Level $273.33

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.87

Wall Street Target $324.71 (+19.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 51.8%

Profit Margin 31.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 26.9 vs 29.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $263.27 (-3%)

2-Year Target $255.37 (-6%)

3-Year Target $247.71 (-9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→30) $271.94 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 26.9, Growth: 18.7%) $454.47 (+67%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 18.7%) $344.35 (+27%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 18.7%) $292.70 (+8%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 41.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.59

Bull Case $456.68 (+68%)

Analyst growth 53.3%, PE expands to 45.2

Base Case $415.16 (+53%)

Market implied 53.3%, PE stable at 41.1

Bear Case $184.19 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.9 to 29.5

Stabilization Target: $297.96 (+9.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +9.8%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: September 23, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is TXN showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for TXN.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
AVGO Broadcom Inc	STRONG BUY 46 analysts	$532	66 BUY
NXPI NXP Semiconductors NV	STRONG BUY 32 analysts	$311	56 HOLD
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation	STRONG BUY 63 analysts	$328	50 HOLD
MRVL Marvell Technology Group…	STRONG BUY 37 analysts	$289	46 HOLD
MU Micron Technology Inc	STRONG BUY 37 analysts	$1513	41 HOLD

AVGO Broadcom Inc

66 BUY

NXPI NXP Semiconductor…

56 HOLD

NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

50 HOLD

MRVL Marvell Technolog…

46 HOLD

MU Micron Technology…

41 HOLD

Advanced TXN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for TXN

TXN Technical Chart TXN Price Prediction TXN Earnings Date TXN Investment Advisor TXN Fair Price Analyzer TXN Options Advisor TXN Options Chain TXN Options Analysis TXN Competitors

Compare TXN with Peers

TXN vs AMAT
Which one to buy?

TXN vs ADI
Which one to buy?

TXN vs QCOM
Which one to buy?

TXN vs LRCX
Which one to buy?

TXN vs KLAC
Which one to buy?

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie