UAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$115.41
-3.40 (-2.86%)
▼
5d:
-8.4%
30d:
-2.62%
90d:
+21.45%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
Get Alerted When UAL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: UAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$217.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.00
14.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAL is currently trading at $115.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.57 to $132.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $114.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.05 (+34.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $114.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.05 (+34.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$113.57 -
$132.03
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UAL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($155.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.57 -
$132.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.04
Resistance Level
$138.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.75
Wall Street Target
$155.05
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.5%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.91
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$118.43
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$119.97
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$116.06
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 39.3%)
$844.65
(+632%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 39.3%)
$311.68
(+170%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 39.3%)
$264.92
(+130%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.49
Bull Case
$185.46
(+61%)
Analyst growth 41.9%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$168.60
(+46%)
Market implied 41.9%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$80.79
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Top Rated Airlines Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airlines by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$100 | 56 HOLD |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group |
BUY
26 analysts |
$19 | 54 HOLD |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$65 | 53 HOLD |
|
CPA
Copa Holdings SA |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$174 | 53 HOLD |
|
VLRS
Volaris |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$9 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced UAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UAL price and gamma walls.
