WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$159.44
6.01 (3.92%)
▲
5d:
+2.88%
30d:
+2.36%
90d:
-1.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$228.94
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $159.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.71 to $157.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.8) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $203.92 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $203.92 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$151.71 -
$157.62
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($203.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$151.71 -
$157.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.89
Resistance Level
$158.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.77
Wall Street Target
$203.92
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$156.09
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$152.81
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$149.60
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$159.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$226.13
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$191.12
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$162.45
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$254.68
(+60%)
Analyst growth 50.9%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$231.53
(+45%)
Market implied 50.9%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$104.33
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 27.5
Stabilization Target:
$170.14
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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