CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc
REFUSE SYSTEMS
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$98.53
+5.53 (+5.95%)
â˛
5d:
-0.35%
30d:
+15.55%
90d:
+8.24%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
Protect CWST Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (53%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$84.54 â $96.62
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
68.5x
FAIR
vs 63.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$106.80
+8.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$88.79 / $101.69
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CWST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.21
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWST is currently trading at $98.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.54 to $96.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 68.5) is in line with its historical norms (63.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $88.78, while resistance sits at $101.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CWST scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $88.78, while resistance sits at $101.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CWST scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$84.54 -
$96.62
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$84.54 -
$96.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$88.79
Resistance Level
$101.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CWST? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($106.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 15.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
68.47
Wall Street Target
$106.80
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.9%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
68.5 vs 63.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.29
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$104.12
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$107.04
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 68â63)
PE COMPRESSION
$98.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 68.5, Growth: 15.6%)
$152.14
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.6%)
$44.13
(-55%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.6%)
$37.51
(-62%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 55.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.78
Bull Case
$118.97
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 58.0
Base Case
$98.53
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 55.3
Bear Case
$75.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 49.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CWST)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $CWST following a double beat earnings report and raised guidance.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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