GFL
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
Refuse Systems
GFL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$43.38
+0.97 (+2.29%)
â˛
5d:
-4.22%
30d:
+1.47%
90d:
+4.15%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (78%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$42.74 â $45.50
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.2x
FAIR
vs 33.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$51.23
+18.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$40.65 / $46.52
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GFL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 28, 2026 at $43.59 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFL is currently trading at $43.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.74 to $45.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.2) is in line with its historical norms (33.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.65, while resistance sits at $46.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.23 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.65, while resistance sits at $46.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.23 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$42.74 -
$45.50
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$42.74 -
$45.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$40.65
Resistance Level
$46.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.23
Wall Street Target
$51.23
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.2%
Profit Margin
-4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 33.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.42
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$43.47
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$43.51
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â33)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 61.1%)
$146.41
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 61.1%)
$87.50
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 61.1%)
$74.37
(+71%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GFL)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $GFL, with one trader expressing confidence in the stable garbage collection business and anticipating a potential higher buyout offer from KKR.
Key Retail Themes:
Buyout prospects
Stable business
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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