WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$226.59
0.04 (0.02%)
▲
5d:
-4.75%
30d:
-1.65%
90d:
-0.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$341.85
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$212.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $226.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $226.62 to $238.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $223.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.64 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $223.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.64 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$226.62 -
$238.33
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($260.64)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$226.62 -
$238.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$223.83
Resistance Level
$243.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.75
Wall Street Target
$260.64
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 25.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$225.87
(0%)
2-Year Target
$225.19
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$224.52
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$226.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$325.01
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$272.25
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 12.8%)
$231.41
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 28.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.91
Bull Case
$273.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$226.55
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$173.31
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$228.86
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Christopher P Desantis
SELL
61 shares
2026-03-09
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