Waste Management (WM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$213.46
-1.31 (-0.61%)
▼
5d:
-3.73%
30d:
-5.68%
90d:
-2.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $218.99 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$334.58
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$207.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $213.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.44 to $226.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (24.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $212.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.92 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $212.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.92 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$218.44 -
$226.45
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($259.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$218.44 -
$226.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$212.82
Resistance Level
$222.22
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.41
Wall Street Target
$259.92
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 24.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$209.19
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$205.01
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$200.91
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$213.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 12.2%)
$301.52
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.2%)
$259.81
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$220.84
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.08
Bull Case
$304.29
(+43%)
Analyst growth 28.8%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case
$276.63
(+30%)
Market implied 28.8%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$146.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 24.9
Stabilization Target:
$227.07
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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|---|---|---|---|
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WCN
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CLH
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|
CWST
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$112 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced WM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WM price and gamma walls.
