WM
Waste Management, Inc.
REFUSE SYSTEMS
Waste Management (WM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$243.38
+3.09 (+1.29%)
▲
5d:
+0.87%
30d:
+12.81%
90d:
+8.39%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect WM Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$215.50 – $239.31
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.9x
FAIR
vs 24.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$255.60
+6.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$227.72 / $247.40
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$314.51
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $243.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $215.50 to $239.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $247.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $247.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$215.50 -
$239.31
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$215.50 -
$239.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$227.72
Resistance Level
$247.40
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding WM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($255.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.86
Wall Street Target
$255.60
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
26.9 vs 24.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$246.78
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$253.44
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$260.28
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$240.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$324.07
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$239.66
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$203.71
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.62
Bull Case
$306.61
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.4%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$278.73
(+16%)
Market implied 17.4%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$161.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message highlights $WM as 'money makers' with a wide moat that will outperform tech in the next year. A news article discusses GFL Environmental's potential undervaluation and growth opportunities despite execution risks.
Key Retail Themes:
GFL's growth prospects and potential undervaluation
Consolidation of fragmented waste markets
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 12:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Waste Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Waste Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WCN
Waste Connections Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$206 | 31 SELL |
|
RSG
Republic Services Inc |
BUY
27 analysts |
$256 | 34 SELL |
|
CLH
Clean Harbors Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$367 | 56 HOLD |
|
GFL
Gfl Environmental Holdin… |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$51 | 38 SELL |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc |
BUY
11 analysts |
$107 | 44 HOLD |
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