Republic Services (RSG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$241.60
11.28 (4.90%)
▲
5d:
+5.2%
30d:
+13.37%
90d:
+11.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.23
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $241.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.33 to $225.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.5) is in line with its historical norms (27.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $242.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: RSG scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $242.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: RSG scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$211.33 -
$225.65
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
RSG is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($243.46)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$211.33 -
$225.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$215.10
Resistance Level
$242.27
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.54
Wall Street Target
$243.46
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
28.5 vs 27.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$233.31
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$236.35
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$239.42
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$229.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.5, Growth: 11.0%)
$314.92
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$219.12
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$186.25
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
Bull Case
$288.42
(+25%)
Analyst growth 12.5%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$262.20
(+14%)
Market implied 12.5%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$158.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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