RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$215.22
0.96 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
+2.69%
30d:
-0.98%
90d:
+5.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.57
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $215.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.72 to $220.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.7) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $219.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.58 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $219.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.58 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$211.72 -
$220.75
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($246.58)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$211.72 -
$220.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$204.80
Resistance Level
$219.29
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.67
Wall Street Target
$246.58
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$213.07
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$210.94
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$208.83
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→28)
$215.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$293.44
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$222.57
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$189.18
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.03
Bull Case
$270.53
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.8%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$245.94
(+14%)
Market implied 14.8%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$145.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.7 to 27.5
Stabilization Target:
$221.91
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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