WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
$193.57
2.82 (1.48%) ▲
5d: -1.9%
30d: +15.21%
90d: +48.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $179.64 · last confirmed Aug 25, 2026

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: WDAY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$271.52
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$168.59
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $193.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.22 to $196.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $188.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: WDAY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $151.22 - $196.08
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 38.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($187.55)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.9% growth expectation is conservative given 248% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $151.22 - $196.08
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $188.05
Resistance Level $208.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.05
Wall Street Target $187.55 (-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 248.0%
Profit Margin 8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.9% premium
PE vs Historical 18.1 vs 15.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $204.99 (+6%)
2-Year Target $217.09 (+12%)
3-Year Target $229.89 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→15) PE COMPRESSION $193.59 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.7%) $351.02 (+81%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 17.7%) $315.70 (+63%)
Bear: (PE: 15.2, Growth: 17.7%) $265.84 (+37%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.57
Bull Case $233.74 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case $193.57 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case $148.08 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 27, 2026 9:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Garfield SELL 1585 shares 2026-04-10
David A Duffield SELL 107500 shares 2026-04-09
Gerrit S Kazmaier SELL 9356 shares 2026-04-07

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Advanced WDAY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.

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