WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$224.06
-0.86 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
-5.57%
90d:
+2.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 12, 2026 at $227.18 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$335.93
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$208.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $224.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $224.57 to $236.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.6) is in line with its historical norms (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $222.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WM scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.92 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $222.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WM scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.92 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$224.57 -
$236.74
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($259.92)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 80/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$224.57 -
$236.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$222.25
Resistance Level
$228.98
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.57
Wall Street Target
$259.92
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 25.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$222.94
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$221.83
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$220.72
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$224.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: 12.2%)
$316.49
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$258.53
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$219.75
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.22
Bull Case
$270.55
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$224.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case
$171.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.6 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$227.98
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Christopher P Desantis
SELL
61 shares
2026-03-09
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Advanced WM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WM price and gamma walls.
