WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$218.28
4.97 (2.33%)
▲
5d:
+0.62%
30d:
+0.24%
90d:
-4.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$343.15
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$213.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $218.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.26 to $220.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (24.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.04 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.04 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$214.26 -
$220.81
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($256.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.26 -
$220.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$210.12
Resistance Level
$222.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.07
Wall Street Target
$256.04
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 24.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.76
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$202.36
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$197.10
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$212.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 12.7%)
$305.45
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.7%)
$288.41
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.7%)
$245.15
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.91
Bull Case
$315.91
(+48%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$287.19
(+35%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$145.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 24.9
Stabilization Target:
$230.26
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Christopher P Desantis
SELL
61 shares
2026-03-09
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Advanced WM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WM price and gamma walls.
